Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

Real Madrid

LaLiga Spain (Round 8) 11 oct 2026, 09:00

- : -

Spain, Madrid, Estadio Bernabeu

Villarreal

Total games 10

100% More 0.5 goals 100%

80% More 1.5 goals 90%

50% More 2.5 goals 70%

30% More 3.5 goals 70%

20% More 4.5 goals 50%

60% More 1.5 goals in 1st period 50%

50% Percent scored in both periods 30%

10% Percent conceded in both periods 30%

40% Total % 80%

60% Last 5 80%

60% Home BTTS % 100%

20% Away BTTS % 67%

40% More 2.5 goals 70%

30% BTTS first period 50%

40% BTTS and Win 20%

0% BTTS and Lose 30%

40% Won-To-Nil 0%

20% Lost-To-Nil 20%

0% Scoreless 0%

60% Over 9.5 70%

60% Over 10.5 40%

40% Over 11.5 40%

30% Over 12.5 40%

30% Over 13.5 40%

70% Over 2.5 80%

70% Over 3.5 60%

50% Over 4.5 30%

50% Over 5.5 20%

20% Over 6.5 0%

10 Kylian Mbappe

Real Madrid Forward

LaLiga Spain 2026/2027

19 Nicolas Pepe

Villarreal Forward

4 Matches 4

4 Goals 2

0 Penalty Goals 0

1 Goals Per 90 min 0.54

90 Min Per Goal 168

Head to Head Real Madrid - Villarreal

In the last 5 head-to-head (H2H) ties, Real Madrid holds an edge — 4 wins compared to 0 for Villarreal, with 1 draws. The head-to-head stats indicate a moderate advantage for Real Madrid, although the rivalry remains closely contested.

80% W - 4

20% D - 1

0% W - 0

24 jan 2026 15:00

LaLiga Spain

Villarreal Real Madrid

xG 0.7 Score 0 % 58%

1.6 2 89%

04 oct 2025 15:00

LaLiga Spain

Real Madrid Villarreal

xG 3.7 Score 3 % 90%

0.7 1 85%

15 mar 2025 13:30

LaLiga Spain

Villarreal Real Madrid

xG 2.1 Score 1 % 65%

0.9 2 63%

05 oct 2024 15:00

LaLiga Spain

Real Madrid Villarreal

xG 0.4 Score 2 % 36%

1.3 0 43%

19 may 2024 13:00

LaLiga Spain

Villarreal Real Madrid

xG 2.5 Score 4 % 76%

1.3 4 50%

Total percentage of xG honesty 65%

Over 0.5

5/5 matches

100%

Over 1.5

5/5 matches

100%

Over 2.5

3/5 matches

60%

BTTS

3/5 matches

60%

Team Over 0.5

Real Madrid

100%

Team Over 0.5

Villarreal

60%

Last matches Real Madrid

In the last 5 matches, Real Madrid recorded an average xG of 2.91, confirming their ability to create scoring chances. Although not every opportunity ends in a goal, the attacking performance is clearly visible in their recent form and competitive record.

80% W - 4

0% D - 0

20% L - 1

08 sep 2026 15:00

Champions League

Real Madrid Inter

xG 2.8 Score 2 % 84%

1.5 1 80%

04 sep 2026 15:00

LaLiga Spain

Real Betis Real Madrid

xG 1.0 Score 1 % 99%

3.7 0 22%

30 aug 2026 11:00

LaLiga Spain

Real Madrid Malaga

xG 2.4 Score 4 % 75%

0.7 0 58%

26 aug 2026 15:00

LaLiga Spain

Real Madrid Real Sociedad

xG 3.0 Score 4 % 85%

0.8 1 87%

22 aug 2026 15:30

LaLiga Spain

Espanyol Real Madrid

xG 1.0 Score 1 % 100%

2.8 2 84%

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals per game

2.4

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

80%

BTTS

60%

Last matches Villarreal

Villarreal's recent form reveals a crisis, failing to win any of the last 5 matches. With 2 draws and 3 losses, the team's performance analysis points to weakness in both defense and attack. The poor goal difference (-3) underlines the negative trend in their match outcomes and competitive record.

0% W - 0

40% D - 2

60% L - 3

08 sep 2026 15:00

Champions League

Borussia Dortmund Villarreal

xG 2.9 Score 3 % 98%

1.5 2 85%

05 sep 2026 15:00

LaLiga Spain

Villarreal Deportivo de A Coruna

xG 1.0 Score 2 % 68%

0.9 3 46%

28 aug 2026 15:30

LaLiga Spain

Deportivo Alaves Villarreal

xG 0.5 Score 1 % 66%

2.0 0 33%

23 aug 2026 11:00

LaLiga Spain

Atletico Madrid Villarreal

xG 0.7 Score 2 % 51%

3.8 2 70%

16 aug 2026 11:00

LaLiga Spain

Racing Santander Villarreal

xG 1.8 Score 2 % 95%

0.5 2 41%

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals per game

1.6

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

80%

BTTS

80%

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Standings

№	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	Diff	Form	Points
3	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	10-3	7	12.09.26 15:00 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 04.09.26 Real Betis 1 : 0 Real Madrid 30.08.26 Real Madrid 4 : 0 Malaga 26.08.26 Real Madrid 4 : 1 Real Sociedad 22.08.26 Espanyol 1 : 2 Real Madrid	9
17	Villarreal	4	0	2	2	6-8	-2	14.09.26 15:00 Villarreal - Real Betis 05.09.26 Villarreal 2 : 3 Deportivo de A Coruna 28.08.26 Deportivo Alaves 1 : 0 Villarreal 23.08.26 Atletico Madrid 2 : 2 Villarreal 16.08.26 Racing Santander 2 : 2 Villarreal	2

Champions League

Europa League

Europa Conference League Qualification

Relegation

Win Draw Lose Scheduled

MP Matches Played W Wins D Draws L Loses

G Goals Diff Diff goals

Full table

League Position 3 / 20

Comparative Team Statistics

League Position 17 / 20

4 Total games 4

3 75% Wins 0

0 Draws 50% 2

1 25% Loses 50% 2

10 Goals scored 6

3 Goals conceded 8

9 Points 2

Average stats for current league & season

Home

Away

Goals scored

Missed Goals

0.5

First goal time

First Missed Goal Time

Yellow cards

1.5

Substitutions

Largest win

4:0

Largest loss

Goals scored

1.3

Missed Goals

1.7

First goal time

First Missed Goal Time

Yellow cards

2.7

Substitutions

Largest win

Largest loss

1:0

4 Matches played 4

0 Matches Lost Home 1

1 Matches Lost Away 1

2 Matches Won Home 0

1 Matches Won Away 0

0 Matches Draw Away 2

0 Draws 2

10 Goals Scored 6

57 Ball Possession 61

24 Shots Off Target 18

34 Shots On Target 24

31 Corner Kicks 29

5 Offsides 10

463 Attacks 451

11.79 Total xG 7.28

2.95 Average xG 1.82

5.36 Total Home xG 1.02

2.68 Average Home xG 1.02

6.43 Total Away xG 6.26

3.22 Average Away xG 2.09

15.29 Total Participants xG 11.17

3.82 Average Participants xG 2.79

5.36 Total Home Non Penalty xG 1.02

5.66 Total Away Non Penalty xG 4.72

3 Goals Conceded 8

8 Yellow Cards 10

1 Total Clean Sheets 0

1 Own Goals 1

Real Madrid Players Stats

№	Player	Games	Min	St	So	Si	G (P)	YC	RC
6	Eduardo Camavinga	4	176	2	1	2	0 (0)	2	0
10	Kylian Mbappe	4	360	4	0	0	4 (0)	0	0
7	Vinicius Junior	4	354	4	1	0	1 (0)	2	0
18	Alvaro Carreras	3	112	2	2	1	0 (0)	1	0
20	Bernardo Silva	4	205	2	2	2	0 (0)	0	0
5	Jude Bellingham	4	335	4	3	0	2 (0)	0	0
24	Denzel Dumfries	3	234	3	2	0	0 (0)	0	0
10	Brahim Diaz	2	77	1	1	1	0 (0)	0	0
17	Marc Cucurella	4	248	2	1	2	0 (0)	0	0
16	Ibrahima Konate	3	270	3	0	0	0 (0)	2	0
22	Antonio Ruediger	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
12	Trent Alexander-Arnold	3	126	1	0	2	0 (0)	0	0
8	Federico Valverde	4	339	4	2	0	0 (0)	0	0
15	Arda Guler	4	209	3	3	1	1 (0)	1	0
1	Thibaut Courtois	4	360	4	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
4	Dean Huijsen	4	360	4	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
19	Carlos Espi	3	22	0	0	3	1 (0)	0	0
25	Yan Diomande	4	83	0	0	4	0 (0)	0	0

St So Si

Total starts Substituted out Substituted in

G (P)

Goals (penalty)

YC RC

Yellow cards Red cards

Villarreal Players Stats

№	Player	Games	Min	St	So	Si	G (P)	YC	RC
17	Tajon Buchanan	4	154	1	1	3	0 (0)	1	0
1	Luiz Junior	4	360	4	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
9	Georges Mikautadze	4	279	3	2	1	1 (1)	0	0
7	Gerard Moreno	4	210	2	2	2	1 (1)	0	0
10	Alberto Moleiro	4	206	3	3	1	0 (0)	0	0
19	Nicolas Pepe	4	336	4	2	0	2 (0)	1	0
14	Santi Comesana	4	231	3	3	1	0 (0)	1	0
2	Logan Costa	1	83	1	1	0	0 (0)	0	0
8	Juan Foyth	3	270	3	0	0	0 (0)	2	0
22	Ayoze Perez	4	207	3	3	1	0 (0)	0	0
10	Ilias Akhomach	4	51	0	0	4	0 (0)	0	0
18	Pape Gueye	4	332	4	1	0	1 (0)	1	0
23	Sergi Cardona	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
24	Nathan Saliba	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
21	Tani Oluwaseyi	3	26	0	0	3	0 (0)	0	0
3	Alex Freeman	3	120	1	0	2	0 (0)	0	0
12	Renato Veiga	4	360	4	0	0	0 (0)	1	0
20	Carlos Romero	3	270	3	0	0	0 (0)	1	0
15	Santiago Mourino	3	240	3	2	0	0 (0)	2	0
37	Carlos Macia	2	45	0	0	2	0 (0)	0	0