Atlético have scored seven goals in two matches — can Real stop their surging neighbors? Atlético vs Real Madrid prediction

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction Photo: laliga.com / Author unknown
LaLiga Spain (Round 7) 20 sep 2026, 10:15
Finished
2 : 1
Spain, Madrid, Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Alejandro Grimaldo
53' (P)
Jonathan David
59'
89'
Antonio Ruediger

The seventh-round La Liga clash between Atlético and Real Madrid will take place on September 20 at the Metropolitano Stadium. Los Colchoneros have collected 13 points and sit fourth, while José Mourinho’s side are second with 15 points. Here is our prediction for the latest Madrid derby.

Atlético: two routs after a difficult spell

Diego Simeone’s side made a poor start to September, losing 0-3 to Athletic Club in the league and 1-2 to Liverpool in the Champions League. Their response was emphatic: the Madrid side thrashed Real Sociedad 3-0 and then Osasuna 4-0.

There are still doubts over the fitness of Julián Álvarez, Pablo Barrios and Alexander Sørloth ahead of the derby. Álvarez has missed the last two matches, so Jonathan David could lead the attack once again.

Real Madrid: three wins after defeat by Betis

Real Madrid’s only setback in this season’s La Liga came against Betis — a 0-1 defeat. Since then, Los Blancos have beaten Inter in the Champions League and followed that up in the league with wins over Rayo Vallecano 4-1 and Elche 3-2.

The latest victory did not come easily: Carlos Espejo scored the decisive goal in stoppage time. Jude Bellingham is expected to return to the starting lineup for the derby, while Éder Militão, Rodrygo and Ferland Mendy remain sidelined.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Atlético have won their last two La Liga matches by an aggregate score of 7-0.
  • Real Madrid have recorded five wins in the first six rounds of the league.
  • Last season, Atlético thrashed Real Madrid 5-2 at home, while the most recent meeting ended in a 3-2 victory for Los Blancos.

The derby promises another thriller until the final whistle: Atlético vs Real Madrid prediction

Atlético have hit excellent form and, on home soil, are capable of causing their neighbors serious problems once again. However, Real Madrid also bounced back quickly from their only defeat and have more players capable of deciding a match with an individual moment of brilliance.

This match should be much tighter than Atlético’s recent routs. In an even contest, the visitors’ attacking quality could give them a narrow advantage.

Prediction on game W1(+1.0)
Odds: 1.55
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