Lithuania vs Georgia: prediction, head-to-head, and probable line-ups – 29 March 2026
One of Saturday’s international friendlies takes place in Kaunas, where Lithuania will host Georgia. The visitors have a clearly higher ceiling in terms of squad quality, while the hosts, despite the occasional surge, remain riddled with vulnerabilities. Here’s my take on the likely outcome of this clash.
- See also: Belgium U19 vs Sweden U19: prediction, head-to-head, and probable line-ups – 28 March 2026
Match preview
Lithuania enter this fixture on the back of a rare positive result – a 2-0 victory over Moldova. This win was crucial from a psychological standpoint, as Edgaras Jankauskas’s side had gone 17 matches without a win, with their goalless streak stretching to 368 minutes.
However, I wouldn’t call that victory a sign of full recovery. The Lithuanians still struggle to create chances, have not won at home in over two years, and failed to register a single win in World Cup qualifying, finishing bottom of their group – even behind Malta.
Georgia arrive for this match in a patchy run of form, but still boast a far superior attacking threat. In their recent 2-2 draw with Israel, the Georgians squandered a two-goal lead, but Khvicha Kvaratskhelia bagged a brace and remains the team’s main game-changer – capable of flipping a match on his own.
Yes, Willy Sagnol’s team have their issues, especially at the back – they’ve conceded at least twice in six of their last seven outings. But the gulf in attacking resources between these teams is obvious: Georgia have Kvaratskhelia, Mikautadze, Davitashvili, and plenty of depth for rotation, while Lithuania’s main weapons are discipline and patience.
Probable line-ups
- Lithuania: Gertmonas, Baltrunas, Armalas, Utkus, Sirvys, Sirgedas, Vorobjovas, Gineitis, Lasickas, Kucys, Kalinauskas.
- Georgia: Mamardashvili, Gocholeishvili, Lochoshvili, Gadrani, Tsitaishvili, Kiteishvili, Mekvabishvili, Gagnidze, Kvaratskhelia, Zivzivadze, Mamageishvili.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Lithuania beat Moldova 2-0 in their last match, ending a 17-game winless run.
- Georgia head into this fixture on a five-match winless streak, having drawn 2-2 with Israel last time out.
- In the last seven head-to-heads between Lithuania and Georgia, at least one team failed to score, and under 2.5 goals was seen in four of the past five meetings.
Prediction
Lithuania will likely look to play with structure, density, and a measured tempo once again, knowing that open football against this opponent would be too risky. But in matches like this, it’s often not about overall work rate, but about having players who can conjure a goal from nothing – and here, Georgia’s edge is clear.
