Belarus vs Kazakhstan prediction, H2H and probable lineups - June 5, 2025
Belarus
One of Thursday's friendly encounters will take place at the Dinamo Arena in Minsk, where the Belarus national team faces Kazakhstan. I'm backing a bet on goals in this match with solid odds for success.
Match preview
The Belarusian national team has shown significant progress in recent months, especially compared to their disastrous run of friendlies in 2023. Two convincing wins this year—over Tajikistan (5-0) and Azerbaijan (2-0)—have boosted the squad’s confidence and offered some redemption ahead of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. A key improvement has been in attack, previously the team’s main weakness.
Nevertheless, at home, the side remains rather pragmatic: in their last six friendlies in Minsk, Belarus has only once scored more than a single goal. Still, under Carlos Alos, they play organized football on home soil, rarely allowing opponents much attacking freedom—conceding no more than one goal in 11 of their last 14 home matches. All this makes Belarus an extremely tricky opponent in friendlies, especially in Minsk.
Kazakhstan, meanwhile, is using this friendly as a tune-up before their qualifier against North Macedonia, so it’s unlikely to be a top priority in terms of lineup or motivation. The team’s current form is a major concern: in their last eight friendlies, Kazakhstan has lost six times, regularly conceding and struggling to convert chances. Their March win over Curaçao is hardly a benchmark—given the modest level of the opposition.
Kazakhstan’s away form is particularly poor: six consecutive away friendlies without a win, conceding at least twice in five of them. Their lack of attacking edge is also telling—there hasn’t been a single game in that stretch where they’ve scored more than once. Given these stats and likely squad rotation, it’s hard to expect a productive attacking display from the visitors in Minsk.
Probable lineups
- Belarus: Pavel Pavlyuchenko – Dmitry Prischepa, Pavel Zabelin, Egor Parkhomenko, Vadim Pigas – Maxim Kireev, Valery Bocherov, Ruslan Lisakovich, Pavel Sedko, Trofim Melnichenko – Evgeny Shikavka
- Kazakhstan: Alexander Zarutsky – Roman Asrankulov, Alibek Kasym, Adilbek Jumakhanov, Sultanbek Astanov – Galymzhan Kenzhebek, Islambek Kuat, Serikzhan Muzhikov, Murodjon Khalmatov, Islam Chesnokov – Aybar Zhaksilykov
Match facts and head-to-head
- Kazakhstan has not won in their last six away friendlies.
- Belarus has scored more than one goal in just 3 of their last 16 home friendlies.
- Three of the last four head-to-head meetings between these teams have seen under 2.5 total goals.
Prediction
This is a clash between two teams prioritizing defensive stability and preparation for upcoming qualifiers, so don’t expect fireworks. Despite their recent successes, Belarus remains limited in attacking resources, especially at home, where compactness and reliability are the focus. Our bet here is "Total under 2.5 goals" at odds of 1.60.
