Can Al Faisaly Challenge the Defending Champions? Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr Prediction | October 23, 2026
Al Faisaly host Al Nassr in the 11th round of the Saudi Pro League on October 23. The newly promoted side have struggled to establish themselves in the top flight, while Al Nassr have made a stronger start and remain among the leading teams in the standings.
Al Faisaly
Al Faisaly returned to the Saudi Pro League after finishing second in the First Division last season. Their first 9 league matches have brought just 1 win, 4 draws and 4 defeats, with 10 goals scored and 17 conceded. They have collected 7 points and sit 14th, only 1 point above the relegation zone.
Their recent results have been more encouraging, as they recorded their first league win by beating Al Kholood 3–2 before drawing 2–2 away to Al Shabab. However, they have conceded in 3 consecutive matches, and their home record remains inconsistent: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5 games.
Al Faisaly have shown that they can contribute to high-scoring matches, with their last 3 fixtures all producing over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net. Nevertheless, their defensive record will be a significant concern against one of the league’s most productive attacks.
Al Nassr
Recently Al Nassr suffered a heavy 0–4 defeat to Al Ain in the AFC Champions League but have since responded with 3 consecutive victories. They beat Al Diriyah 3–0 in the Saudi Pro League, defeated Neftchi 3–1 in continental competition and most recently secured a narrow 1–0 league win over NEOM SC. Their results have demonstrated an ability to recover quickly from a setback.
In the league, Al Nassr have collected 22 points from 9 matches, recording 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 7, leaving them 2 points behind Al Hilal with games in hand. Their away record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 4 matches.
Al Nassr’s matches have regularly produced plenty of goals, with over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of their last 12 games. With Al Faisaly also conceding regularly, the visitors’ attacking output could prove decisive.
Head-to-Head
Al Faisaly and Al Nassr last met in 2022, when Al Nassr won 4–0. Across their last 10 meetings, Al Nassr have recorded 5 wins, Al Faisaly have won 3 times, and 2 matches have ended in draws.
Key Trends
- Al Faisaly have conceded 17 goals in their first 9 league matches.
- Al Faisaly have conceded in each of their last 3 matches.
- Al Faisaly’s last 3 matches have seen over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
- 10 of Al Nassr’s last 12 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
Prediction
Al Faisaly’s recent improvement in attack could help them create chances, but their defensive vulnerability remains a major concern against Al Nassr. The hosts have shown they can score regularly in open matches, yet their tendency to concede could force them to chase the game if the visitors take the lead. While Al Faisaly may make the contest competitive with their recent attacking form, Al Nassr should have enough firepower to control the match and come away with a victory. Given Al Faisaly’s defensive record and Al Nassr’s attacking strength, another open and competitive match could produce several goals. Recommended Bet: Over 3 Total Goals.
