Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty prediction and betting tip for June 23, 2025
Seattle Storm
New York Liberty
On June 23, 2025, the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle will host a regular-season WNBA clash between the Seattle Storm and the New York Liberty. Let’s break down the best bet on the teams’ scoring output in this matchup.
Seattle Storm
The Seattle Storm enter this game in top form, having won four of their last five contests, suffering only one defeat — on the road against the Golden State Valkyries. Particularly impressive were their performances in the last two games: dominant wins over tough opponents — the Los Angeles Sparks (98-67) and the Las Vegas Aces (90-83).
One of the team’s key players is Nneka Ogwumike, who posted a double-double against Las Vegas (25 points, 12 rebounds) and previously dropped 26 points against the Sparks. She leads the team in rebounds, averaging 8.5 per game. The top scorer and assist leader is Skylar Diggins-Smith (18.3 points and 6.2 assists per game), who also notched 24 points in the matchup with the Aces.
Seattle currently sits fifth in the standings with an 8-5 record. At home, they’ve played six games and won four. On average, the Storm score 82.7 points per game (5th in the league) and allow 78.4 (6th in defensive reliability).
However, the Storm have struggled in head-to-heads with the New York Liberty, losing seven consecutive games to this opponent.
New York Liberty
Unlike Seattle, the New York Liberty are currently experiencing a slump. After a strong undefeated run, the team has dropped two of their last three games. First came a road disaster against the Indiana Fever (88-102), followed by a surprising home loss to the Phoenix Mercury (81-89), their first home defeat of the season.
Breanna Stewart continues to carry the team — 35 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 assists against Phoenix — but Sabrina Ionescu didn’t shine in that game (16 points, 6 rebounds, 6 assists). The team is clearly missing Jonquel Jones, who will also miss the upcoming match. Her average of 9.6 rebounds per game is crucial for controlling the boards, a fact that’s especially evident now as New York struggles to find its balance.
Nevertheless, Liberty remain one of the top teams in the league, holding second place with a 10-2 record. On the road, they’ve played five games and won four, losing only to Indiana. New York is the highest-scoring team this season (averaging 89.1 points per game), and ranks second in defensive reliability (76.3 allowed).
Key facts and head-to-head stats
- Seattle Storm have won five of their last six games.
- Four of Seattle’s last five games have gone over 163 total points.
- New York Liberty have won four of their last five road games.
- Four of New York’s last five games have gone over 163 total points.
- New York Liberty have won the last seven head-to-head meetings with Seattle.
- Seattle Storm have lost three of their last four home games against New York.
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty prediction
Both teams are heading into this matchup with contrasting momentum and emotions. The Storm are riding high, especially at home, showing consistent offensive firepower. New York Liberty, despite remaining among the league leaders, are clearly going through a rough patch, having lost two of their last three games. It’s also important to note that Liberty will once again be without Jonquel Jones — a key presence in the paint. In head-to-head encounters, New York holds a clear edge, having won the last seven straight meetings. A high-scoring game is expected: both squads have shown aggressive attacking play lately, but their defenses haven’t always been airtight. My bet for this matchup is on the total to go over 163 points at odds of 1.71.
