Swansea suffered their first defeat, while Burnley remain winless: Swansea City vs Burnley prediction

Swansea vs Burnley prediction Photo: efl.com / Author unknown
EFL Championship (Round 7) 12 sep 2026, 10:00
- : -
England, Swansea, Swansea.com Stadium

The Championship seventh-round match between Swansea City and Burnley will take place on 12 September at the Swansea.com Stadium. The hosts sit third despite suffering their first league defeat, while the visitors are in the relegation zone and are still without a victory.

Swansea City: first major setback of the season

Vítor Matos's side conceded just one goal in their opening five rounds, but lost 3-1 to Southampton in midweek. Even after that defeat, the Welsh side remain third and are only two points behind the leaders.

Swansea have been particularly reliable defensively at home and have kept clean sheets in their last three matches there. However, they have struggled for goals on their own ground, with six of their eight league goals coming away from home.

Burnley: goals are coming, but results are not

Burnley have failed to win any of their opening six Championship matches and have already conceded 13 goals. However, Nicky Hayen's side have scored in every round, so their attack cannot be described as completely ineffective.

In their last three matches, the visitors have drawn 1-1 twice — against Middlesbrough and Wrexham — with a 2-1 defeat to Bristol City in between. Those results suggest the team are gradually becoming more competitive, although their defensive problems remain.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Swansea suffered their first Championship defeat only in the sixth round.
  • Burnley have conceded 13 goals in six matches but have scored in every one of them.
  • Swansea are yet to concede in their three home league matches.

The visitors can capitalise on the hosts' dip in form: Swansea City vs Burnley prediction

Swansea remain higher in the table and are very reliable at home, but the defeat to Southampton showed that they are vulnerable. In addition, their low scoring output at home could make things more difficult against an opponent in urgent need of points.

Burnley are still conceding too many goals, but they score regularly and have become better at getting results in recent rounds. We believe the best option here is “Both teams to score”.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.69
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