Newcastle vs Manchester City prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups - 13 January 2026

Newcastle vs Manchester City prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Finished
0 : 2
England, Newcastle upon Tyne, St James' Park
53'
Antoine Semenyo
90' + 8
Rayan Cherki

One of the 2025/26 English League Cup semi-final clashes takes place this Tuesday at St. James' Park in Newcastle, where the local Magpies will host Manchester City. Here’s a bet on goals in this high-stakes showdown with serious attacking potential.

Match preview

Newcastle continue to impress in the League Cup as they look to defend the title they won a year ago. Eddie Howe’s side have already knocked out Tottenham and Fulham, and now face a real test against one of Europe’s most formidable teams. Despite a depleted defense, Newcastle are in fine form - three wins and a draw in their last four matches and a 13-game unbeaten run at home. The atmosphere at St. James' Park is always intimidating for visitors, and it could be a decisive factor again.

Harvey Barnes is on a hot streak, scoring four goals in his last two outings. Up front, the Magpies might experiment with Woltemade and Wissa, while Tonali and Guimarães are expected in midfield. The absences of Livramento and Burn may reduce stability at the back, but with City’s own defensive issues, this may not prove fatal. Newcastle look ready to go toe-to-toe with their opponents, especially with the home crowd behind them.

Manchester City are in formidable form themselves - unbeaten in 12 matches, nine of which have ended in victory. Their 10-1 demolition of Exeter in the FA Cup showcased their attacking prowess, but Newcastle will pose a far sterner challenge. In recent years, City have struggled in the League Cup, often exiting in the early rounds, and this is their first semi-final appearance since 2021.

However, the Citizens are dealing with significant squad issues - key defenders are missing, and the center-back pairing may once again feature the inexperienced Alleyne and Khusanov. The stats don’t lie: just one clean sheet in their last five games. Yet City’s attack remains fearsome - Haaland, Foden, Doku, Reijnders, and Cherki can score against anyone. The big question is whether City can maintain balance in this challenging away semi-final.

Probable lineups

  • Newcastle: Ramsdale, Hall, Botman, Thiaw, Miley, Guimarães, Tonali, Barnes, Woltemade, Gordon, Wissa
  • Manchester City: Trafford, Lewis, Khusanov, Alleyne, O’Reilly, Gonzalez, Cherki, Foden, Reijnders, Doku, Haaland

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Newcastle are unbeaten in four of their last five home meetings with Man City across all competitions.
  • Seven of the last ten head-to-heads at St. James' Park have seen at least three goals scored.
  • City have kept just one clean sheet in their last five matches.

Prediction

This promises to be an even and high-scoring affair - Newcastle are highly motivated to defend their crown and boast strong home form, while City have a potent attack but are vulnerable at the back. With the visitors’ injury woes and the Magpies’ good run, a goal-filled draw looks like a probable outcome.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.55
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