Can Tunisia End Their Winless Run? Tunisia vs Botswana Prediction | September 28, 2026
Tunisia host Botswana in the second round of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying on September 28. The hosts are going through a difficult period and have gone seven matches without a win, but they have a strong head-to-head record against Botswana and will be looking to make home advantage count.
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Match Preview
Tunisia come into the game after a disappointing 1-1 home draw with Uganda in the opening round of qualifying. The result extended their winless run to seven matches, while they have managed just one victory in their last 11 games across competitive and friendly fixtures. Their recent World Cup campaign was also underwhelming, as Tunisia lost all three group matches against Sweden, Japan and the Netherlands.
Despite their recent struggles, Tunisia remain one of Africa's established national teams. They reached the last 16 of the most recent Africa Cup of Nations, where they were eliminated by Mali. They now have an opportunity to respond at home, where their record against Botswana has generally been positive. The sides have met four times in Tunisia, with the hosts winning three of those matches and losing once.
Botswana also began the qualifying campaign with a draw, playing out a 2-2 result against Libya. Their recent competitive record has otherwise been inconsistent. At the Africa Cup of Nations, Botswana lost all three of their matches without scoring, while they also failed to qualify for the World Cup after finishing fifth in their group with 10 points.
The overall head-to-head record also favours Tunisia. They have won five of the nine meetings between the teams, compared with two victories for Botswana, while Tunisia are unbeaten in the last five encounters, recording three wins and two draws.
Recent matches for both sides have also produced a reasonable number of goals. Tunisia have conceded in six consecutive games, while four of their last five matches finished with more than 2.5 goals. Botswana have seen the same total in six of their last eight games.
Key Trends
- Tunisia are winless in their last 7 matches.
- Tunisia have won only 1 of their last 11 games.
- Tunisia have won 3 of their 4 home meetings with Botswana.
- Tunisia are unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
- Botswana failed to score in all 3 of their Africa Cup of Nations matches.
- 4 of Tunisia's last 5 matches finished with over 2.5 goals.
- 6 of Botswana's last 8 matches finished with over 2.5 goals.
Prediction
Tunisia's recent results make this a difficult game to approach with complete confidence, but the hosts still have several factors in their favour. They have a significantly higher position in the FIFA rankings, will play at home and have lost only two of their nine previous meetings with Botswana. The visitors also arrive without a strong recent record in major competitions, while their performances at the last Africa Cup of Nations highlighted their problems in attack. Botswana failed to score in all three of their matches at that tournament, and Tunisia should have enough quality to control the game and create a clear advantage. With the difference in quality, home advantage and a strong head-to-head record on their side, Tunisia should be capable of securing a convincing victory rather than merely edging past Botswana. Recommended Bet: Tunisia -1.5 Asian Handicap
