Can Poland Finally End Their Winless Run? Sweden vs Poland Prediction | September 28, 2026
Sweden host Poland in the second round of the UEFA Nations League League B on September 28. Sweden currently lead the group after beating Romania in their opening match, while Poland started their campaign with a goalless draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Match Preview
Sweden come into the game after a 2-1 victory over Romania. Both of their attacking leaders found the net in that match, with Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres getting on the scoresheet.
However, Sweden have experienced an inconsistent period overall. At the World Cup, they beat Tunisia, drew with Japan and lost to the Netherlands before suffering a 3-0 defeat to France in the last 32.
Their World Cup qualifying campaign in Europe was also disappointing, as Sweden failed to win any of their matches. They eventually secured their place at the tournament through their Nations League performance. In the previous edition, Sweden competed in League C and comfortably won their group ahead of Azerbaijan, Slovakia and Estonia.
- Possible Sweden Lineup: Johansson, Holm, Starfelt, Lindelöf, Stroud, Bernhardsson, Bergvall, Ayari, Nanasi, Gyökeres, Isak.
Poland, meanwhile, are going through a more difficult period. After failing to qualify for the World Cup, they played two more friendlies but failed to win either. Their Nations League campaign then started with a 0-0 draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina, leaving them second in the group. Poland are currently without a win in four consecutive matches.
In the previous Nations League campaign, Poland competed in League A alongside Portugal, Croatia and Scotland. They collected only four points and finished bottom of the group, resulting in relegation to League B.
- Possible Poland Lineup: Bulka, Potulski, Bednarek, Kiwior, Cash, Slisz, Zielinski, Skoras, Zalewski, Szymanski, Lewandowski.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record strongly favours Sweden. The teams last met in World Cup qualifying in March, when Sweden first eliminated Ukraine before beating Poland and ending their hopes of reaching the World Cup. Sweden have also won seven of their last eight meetings with Poland, suffering only one defeat during that run.
Key Trends
- Sweden have won 7 of their last 8 meetings with Poland.
- Poland have failed to win their last four matches.
- Sweden have conceded in 16 consecutive matches.
- Both teams scored in 10 of Sweden's last 11 matches.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Poland's last 7 matches.
- 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings have seen over 2.5 goals.
Prediction
Sweden have the stronger recent record in this fixture and will also have home advantage after starting the Nations League campaign with a victory. Their attacking options, led by Isak and Gyökeres, give them enough quality to create problems for Poland. At the same time, Sweden's defensive record remains a concern, with the team conceding in 16 consecutive matches. Poland have also shown a tendency to find the net despite their recent struggles. With both sides having reasons to push for a positive result and the head-to-head history producing plenty of goals, there should be chances at both ends. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score — Yes
