Can Morocco Continue Their Dominance Over Lesotho? Lesotho vs Morocco Prediction | September 29, 2026
Lesotho host Morocco in the second round of 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifying on September 29. The hosts have struggled for consistency in recent months, while Morocco arrive with a strong record and the confidence of winning their opening match of the qualifying campaign.
Match Preview
Lesotho come into the game after a 2-1 away defeat to Niger in their opening qualifying match. Their recent record has been difficult, with just one win in their last seven games, alongside three draws and three defeats. Their problems in front of goal have also been evident in recent competitive campaigns. Lesotho finished bottom of their Africa Cup of Nations qualifying group last year, scoring only twice while conceding 13 goals, and they also failed to challenge for a place at the World Cup.
Morocco, meanwhile, continue to establish themselves among Africa's leading national teams. They reached the quarter-finals of the World Cup and most recently won the Africa Cup of Nations, defeating Senegal in the final. Their current qualifying campaign has also started positively, with a 2-0 victory over Gabon in the opening round.
The difference in recent consistency is particularly notable. Morocco have lost only once in their last 30 matches, with that defeat coming against France at the World Cup. At the same time, six of their last eight games have finished with fewer than 2.5 goals, highlighting the tendency for their recent matches to remain relatively low-scoring.
The head-to-head record further highlights the gap between the sides. Morocco have won both previous meetings, which came during the last Africa Cup of Nations qualifying campaign. They won 1-0 away from home before producing a much more emphatic 7-0 victory in the return fixture, keeping clean sheets in both matches.
Key Trends
- Lesotho have failed to win their last 3 matches.
- Lesotho have conceded in 4 consecutive matches.
- Morocco have lost only once in their last 30 games.
- 6 of Morocco's last 8 matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Morocco won both previous meetings with Lesotho without conceding.
Prediction
Morocco have a clear advantage in both quality and recent form, and their opening 2-0 win over Gabon showed that they have started the qualifying campaign in confident fashion. Lesotho, meanwhile, have struggled to produce consistent results and have already conceded in four successive matches. However, Morocco's recent games have generally been controlled rather than high-scoring, with six of their last eight finishing below 2.5 goals. Their defensive record also suggests that Lesotho could find it difficult to contribute to the scoreline. The previous 7-0 meeting is unlikely to be a useful indication of the likely margin this time, particularly with Morocco having little reason to take unnecessary risks away from home. A controlled Moroccan victory with a moderate total looks like a more plausible scenario. Recommended Bet: Under 4.5 Total Goals
