Poland vs Sweden: prediction for the UEFA Women's EURO 2025 match on July 8, 2025
Poland
Sweden
On July 8, at St. Jakob-Park in Basel, the women’s national teams of Poland and Sweden will face off in the UEFA Women’s EURO 2025. Let’s take a look at the most likely outcomes of the match, according to our editorial team.
Match preview: In the opening round, Sweden narrowly defeated Denmark 1-0 thanks to a goal from Filippa Angeldahl. The Swedes dominated throughout the match, as evidenced by their 19 shots on goal, though only four were on target. Ball possession was also firmly in Sweden’s favor—an impressive 58%.
Poland showed maximum commitment against powerhouse Germany. The Germans fired 25 shots, but only managed to score twice in the middle of the second half, which speaks volumes about the Polish defensive line. Despite the loss and Germany’s dominance, the Poles weren’t afraid to launch counterattacks—proven by their 10 shots in the match. I believe we’re in for a classic clash: an aggressive attack against a compact defense that knows how to strike on the break and from set pieces.
Probable lineups:
Poland: Szmyk – Wiankowska, Dudek, Woś, Zeniewicz – Kamczyk, Pawollek, Achcińska – Padilla, Pajor, Tomasiak.
Sweden: Falk – Lundkvist, Björn, Sembrant, Andersson – Angeldahl, Asllani, Zigotti Olme – Rytting Kaneryd, Blackstenius, Janogy.
Match facts and head-to-head:
- This is Poland’s first appearance at the tournament, giving them plenty of motivation to make a statement.
- The main attacking threat for Poland is striker Ewa Pajor from Barcelona. Last season, she netted 25 goals and provided 10 assists for the Catalan club. Expect her to be closely marked.
- Poland put in a solid defensive performance against formidable Germany in the opening round, despite conceding twice.
- Sweden confidently navigated the playoff qualification and are unbeaten in their last 12 matches, including a hard-fought win over Denmark in the first round.
- In head-to-head encounters, Sweden has always come out on top: 5 wins with a combined score of 17-2.
- Their last meeting ended 4-2 in Sweden’s favor.
- Sweden is considered one of the tournament favorites.
Prediction: In my opinion, Sweden will be much more assertive and aggressive in attack, thanks to their greater experience in major tournaments. However, Poland has shown solid defensive organization and the ability to strike on the counter. I expect several goals in this match, so my tip is to back over 3 goals (odds – 1.74).
See also: Switzerland vs Iceland prediction, H2H and probable lineups – July 6, 2025
