Morocco vs Mali prediction, H2H and probable lineups - December 26, 2025
One of the matches of the second round of the group stage of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations will take place on Friday, December 26, at the Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium in Rabat, where Morocco will host Mali. Let’s take a closer look at the best bet for this clash with a strong chance of success.
Match preview
Morocco kicked off their home tournament with a confident 2-0 win over Comoros, though the first half raised questions about their finishing — they missed a penalty and squandered a few other good chances. After the break, the team stepped up, scoring twice, including a spectacular goal from Ayoub El Kaabi, which solidified the Atlas Lions’ position in the group and extended their unbeaten streak to 18 matches.
The Moroccans are not only the favorites for this match but are widely considered frontrunners for the entire tournament. The squad boasts impressive depth, plays at home, and hasn’t lost an official home game in over 15 years. They clearly outclass their opponents in both individual skill and tournament experience. A victory over Mali would virtually guarantee them first place in the group.
Mali drew 1-1 with Zambia in their opening match, having led for much of the game but conceding a late equalizer. Thomas Sintfiet’s side looked competitive but showed inconsistency in holding their lead and also missed a penalty in the first half.
The Eagles have put together a decent run of results lately (unbeaten in four straight matches), but they often struggle for consistency away from home. History is also not on Mali’s side: they’ve lost three straight to Morocco without scoring a single goal. That psychological hurdle could be decisive in such a high-stakes game against the hosts.
Probable lineups
- Morocco: Bono, Mazraoui, Aguerd, El Yamiq, Salah-Eddine, Ounahi, Amrabat, Saibari, Dias, El Kaabi, El Ainaoui
- Mali: Diarra, Koulibaly, Diaby, Fofana, Dante, Sangare, Dieng, Sinaïoko, Doumbia, Nene, E.B. Toure
Match facts and head-to-head
- Morocco has not lost an official home match since 2009.
- Mali has failed to beat Morocco in four straight meetings, losing three of those without scoring.
- Morocco has won 15 of their last 18 matches, including friendlies and competitive fixtures.
Prediction
Morocco’s form, squad depth, and home crowd support make them clear favorites in this clash. Despite Mali’s organization, the Atlas Lions are well equipped to earn another narrow but deserved victory. The recommended bet here is a “Morocco win” at odds of 1.60.
