Arsenal vs Newcastle United: prediction, head-to-head stats and probable lineups — 25.04.2026

Arsenal vs Newcastle prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Finished
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England, London, Emirates Stadium
Eberechi Eze
9'

One of the standout fixtures of the Premier League round will take place on Saturday at the Emirates Stadium in London, where Arsenal host Newcastle United. The Gunners are still in the thick of the title race, while the Magpies are desperately trying to steady their season after a string of disappointing results. Here’s my take on the outcome of this high-stakes clash.

Match preview

Arsenal find themselves under immense pressure following a rough patch: Mikel Arteta’s side fell 2-1 to Manchester City, marking their fourth consecutive domestic defeat. The title race now seems firmly in City’s hands. However, with City sidelined this round due to FA Cup commitments, the Gunners could reclaim top spot by the end of the weekend.

The Londoners are visibly fatigued by a relentless fixture schedule, with a Champions League semi-final against Atlético looming. Yet, Arsenal remain formidable at the Emirates and have not lost to Newcastle at home in 13 consecutive encounters.

Newcastle are enduring one of the toughest stretches of their campaign: Eddie Howe’s men have lost three straight Premier League games and four on the bounce across all competitions. Last time out, the Magpies suffered a 2-1 defeat to Bournemouth, increasing the pressure on the coaching staff.

Nevertheless, Newcastle’s attacking threat remains intact — they have scored in 18 consecutive matches in all competitions. Defensive lapses, however, are a recurring issue, which could prove costly against a side of Arsenal’s caliber. Notably, Newcastle have lost their last three league matches by the same 2-1 scoreline. In their previous 10 away games, they have conceded more than one goal just once.

Probable lineups

  • Arsenal: Raya, White, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapié, Ødegaard, Zubimendi, Rice, Madueke, Havertz, Eze.
  • Newcastle United: Ramsdale, Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Hall, Guimarães, Tonali, Miley, Murphy, Osula, Barnes.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 13 home league matches against Newcastle.
  • Newcastle have scored in 18 consecutive games in all competitions.
  • Arsenal risk losing three straight Premier League matches for the first time in four years.
  • Newcastle struggle to defend set pieces: they have conceded 14 goals from them (sixth most in the league).

Prediction

Despite their recent slump, Arsenal remain the more organized and technically superior side, especially on home turf. Their motivation to reclaim top spot should be decisive. Newcastle have the firepower to score and capitalize on Arsenal’s mistakes, but their defensive frailties could be their undoing.

Prediction on game Arsenal Win or Draw & Total over 2.5
Odds: 1.8
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