A new-look Rossoneri set off in Turin: Torino vs Milan prediction

Torino vs AC Milan prediction Photo: legaseriea.it / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 1) 23 aug 2026, 14:45
Finished
1 : 2
Italy, Turin, Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Che Adams
90' + 3
64'
Alphadjo Cisse
67'
Adrien Rabiot

The opening round of the Italian championship features Torino hosting Milan on August 23, 2026, at the Olimpico Stadium in Turin. The Rossoneri kick off the season after a sweeping overhaul and the arrival of Ruben Amorim, while the home side have entrusted their squad to former Milan defender Ignazio Abate.

Torino: Home progress must carry over to the new campaign

Last season, Torino finished 12th, despite struggling for long stretches - especially at the back. Things improved after Roberto D’Aversa took charge: in their final six home Serie A matches, Torino went unbeaten, claimed 14 points, and scored at least twice in every outing.

This summer, Abate took the helm, and pre-season wrapped up with wins over Burnley, Vado, and Avellino. Torino have already advanced past Carrarese in the Coppa Italia, so the hosts head into the league opener with a decent competitive rhythm.

Milan: Amorim will need time for a full rebuild

The Rossoneri collapsed at the end of last season, losing six of their final ten games and missing out on the Champions League. Massimiliano Allegri’s second stint ended swiftly, and now Ruben Amorim is reshaping the side with his trademark three-centre-back system.

This summer, Milan signed Gonçalo Ramos, Diego Moreira, and Mario Gila. Ramos is expected to slot straight into the attack, but Rafael Leão is struggling with muscle problems and Santiago Giménez remains sidelined through injury.

Match facts and head-to-head history

  • Torino have lost just two of their last 13 home games against Milan.
  • Last season, the Rossoneri won 11 of their 19 away Serie A fixtures.
  • The last time these sides met in Turin, Milan came away 3-2 winners.

Visitors' rebuild could slow down the favourites: Torino vs Milan prediction

On individual quality, Milan have the edge, but Amorim’s new system will need time to settle, especially after such sweeping changes. Torino, meanwhile, have already played a competitive match and ended last season with a strong home run.

The hosts are capable of making it a tight contest and capitalising on Milan’s lack of cohesion. A draw looks like a very realistic outcome for the opening round.

Prediction on game W1(+1.0)
Odds: 1.58
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