Portugal vs Denmark prediction, H2H and probable line-ups – March 23, 2025
On March 23, 2025, at 20:45 Central European Time, the second leg of the UEFA Nations League quarter-final between Portugal and Denmark will take place in Lisbon. The first match ended with a 1-0 victory for Denmark. Let's consider a bet on the winner of this match.
Portugal
Portugal approaches this match with ambitions to turn the tide following their defeat in the first encounter. The Portuguese were considered favorites against the Danes but failed to live up to that status. Ronaldo and company played lackluster, creating minimal dangerous moments in front of the opponent's goal. It speaks volumes that despite the loss, goalkeeper Diogo Costa was named the man of the match.
Despite the setback in the first meeting, Portugal has every chance to win at home, where they traditionally perform very confidently. A rich history and high-caliber squad allow Portugal to remain among the favorites in any tournament.
Denmark
Denmark secured an important victory in the first match with a 1-0 score thanks to a goal by Rasmus Højlund. It's unknown how the match would have unfolded if Christian Eriksen had converted a penalty in the middle of the first half. The final shots on target statistics recorded 9:2 in favor of the Danes, with a total shot count of 23:8. However, the only goal was scored late on, as Portugal began to play more actively.
Denmark exhibits stable defensive play, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per match. The team has a good balance between attack and defense, allowing them to perform confidently in decisive matches. In the upcoming match, the Danes will aim to maintain their advantage and advance to the next stage of the tournament.
Probable line-ups
Portugal: Costa, Mendes, Veiga, Dalot, Dias, Fernandes, Vitinha, Neves, Leao, Neto, Ronaldo.
Denmark: Schmeichel, Kristiansen, Vestergaard, Andersen, Skov Olsen, Yulmann, Nørgaard, Maehle, Eriksen, Isaksen, Højlund.
Interesting facts and head-to-head
- Portugal has won 5 of their last 7 home matches.
- Portugal is unbeaten in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Denmark has not won in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- The first match between these teams ended with a 1-0 victory for Denmark.
- The last 3 head-to-head matches ended with a total of less than 2.5 goals.
Prediction for Portugal vs Denmark
Portugal will be eager to rectify the situation after their first match defeat and secure a home victory. Denmark, on the other hand, will strive to maintain their advantage and progress further in the tournament. The match promises to be tense and highly significant for both teams. My bet is on Portugal's victory with odds of 1.63.