Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua prediction, H2H and probable lineups - December 20, 2025

Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Jake Paul Jake Paul
Exhibition fight 20 dec 2025, 00:00
Miami, USA, Kaseya Center
Anthony Joshua Anthony Joshua

One of December’s most talked-about fights is set for the early hours of Saturday, December 20, at the Kaseya Center in Miami (USA). YouTube and showbiz star Jake Paul will step into the ring with former undisputed heavyweight world champion Anthony Joshua. This isn’t just a spectacle—it’s a clash of two worlds. Here’s a pick for the outcome with serious potential.

Fight preview

With a 12-1 record (7 KOs), Jake Paul is essentially a self-taught boxer. In just five years, he’s gone from YouTube blogger to sharing the ring with legends. His journey began with wins over other internet personalities, then he knocked out former Bellator and UFC champ Ben Askren, beat Tyron Woodley twice (the second time with a vicious KO), and convincingly outpointed MMA legend Anderson Silva.

After his lone defeat to Tommy Fury, Jake bounced back by beating Nate Diaz and even shocked the world by defeating 58-year-old Mike Tyson. In his most recent fight, he claimed victory over Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Against Joshua, he’ll try to rely on mobility and his jab, hoping to tire out his opponent. But that strategy borders on suicidal—there’s no way he’ll run circles around Joshua or outmaneuver him in the ring.

Former WBA, WBO, IBF, and IBO champion Anthony Joshua boasts an impressive record: 28 wins, 25 by knockout, and 4 losses. Just two and a half years after turning pro, he captured the IBF title by knocking out Charles Martin. He followed up with victories over Wladimir Klitschko, Joseph Parker, Alexander Povetkin, and Kubrat Pulev. His only defeats came at the hands of elite fighters—Andy Ruiz (in their first bout), Oleksandr Usyk (twice), and Daniel Dubois.

Joshua’s last fight against Dubois was brutal: he was knocked down four times and ultimately stopped. Still, even after such a setback, the gulf between him and Paul is like Formula 1 versus go-karting. Joshua remains a dangerous, experienced, and heavy-handed fighter with a massive 208 cm reach and excellent distance management.

Key facts about the fight

  • This will be the first head-to-head showdown between Joshua and Paul.
  • Joshua has a 13 cm height advantage and a 15 cm reach advantage.
  • Joshua’s level of opposition includes Klitschko, Usyk, Povetkin, while Paul’s resume features bloggers and former MMA fighters.

Prediction

This fight is likely to be one-sided. Jake Paul will try to move and work behind the jab, but Joshua will quickly cut off the ring and suffocate him with relentless pressure. Given the gap in experience and quality of opposition, it’s unlikely the bout goes past the halfway mark. Expect Joshua to stay composed, avoid unnecessary aggression, and finish it by either technical knockout or referee stoppage in rounds 3 or 4.

Prediction on game Total under 3.5
Odds: 1.55
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