Italy vs Germany prediction, probable lineups and H2H — March 20, 2025
In the UEFA Nations League, a showdown between Italy and Germany will take place. The match is set to occur in Milan on Thursday, March 20. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:45 Central European Time. I'm suggesting a bet on the match's goal-scoring potential.
Match preview
Following a disappointing 2022 World Cup and Euro 2024, as well as changes in the squad, Italy is gradually finding its game. Luciano Spalletti has found the right combination of players, and the team has taken on a whole new look.
In the autumn, the Italians looked impressive in the Nations League, where they tied with the French on points and finished second in their group. To reach the semifinals of the prestigious tournament, they will have to battle the strong Germans, who are also undergoing a rebuilding process.
After an unsuccessful performance at the 2022 World Cup, Germany rebooted its national team. Under Julian Nagelsmann, the team showcases attacking and fast-paced football.
In the Nations League, Die Mannschaft looked powerful and sailed through the competition, leaving the Netherlands far behind. The team's play relies on young stars like Musiala and Wirtz, although the latter will miss out due to injury.
Match facts
- Italy has kept a clean sheet in only one of their last ten matches.
- Germany is undefeated in regulation time over their last 15 matches.
- Italy averages 2 goals per game when playing at home, while Germany averages 1.4 goals per game when playing away.
Probable lineups
- Italy: Donnarumma, Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Buongiorno, Calafiori, Ricci, Barella, Tonali, Zaccagni, Retegui, Kean.
- Germany: Baumann, Raum, Schlotterbeck, Rüdiger, Kimmich, Goretzka, Andrich, Musiala, Sané, Adeyemi, Undav.
H2H
Italy hasn't beaten Germany since 2012: 4 draws and 2 losses.
Prediction
Matches between Italy and Germany are rarely high-scoring, as both teams defend excellently. The Germans are likely to attack more often, but the Italians are adept at playing for results. I'm betting on a total of fewer than 2.5 goals.
