Home fortress against the visitors’ crisis: prediction for RB Leipzig vs Augsburg
RB Leipzig and Augsburg will meet on Saturday, November 7, in the ninth round of the German Bundesliga. The match will be played at Red Bull Arena and will kick off at 15:30 CET. I am backing goals in this fixture.
H2H and statistical facts
- Augsburg have conceded in nine consecutive matches.
- Leipzig have won all of their home Bundesliga matches this season, with an aggregate score of 18-0.
- Augsburg have failed to beat Leipzig in 19 consecutive matches.
- Augsburg have never beaten Leipzig away from home in the Bundesliga, drawing just once.
- Augsburg have scored 13 of their 18 goals in the second half.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig sit fourth in the table, having collected 15 points from eight matches. The team have recorded five wins and three defeats, with a goal difference of 22:11. Their attacking numbers are particularly impressive: Martin Demichelis’ side average 2.75 goals per Bundesliga match.
Leipzig have managed to bounce back in their latest fixtures after a painful 6-1 defeat to Bayern Munich. The team thrashed Elversberg 4-0 before beating Schalke 2-0 away from home. In between those matches, they also secured a 2-1 German Cup victory over Rot-Weiss Essen. In the Champions League, however, the German club lost to Real Madrid 1-4 and Manchester City 2-3.
Leipzig’s biggest advantage heading into the upcoming encounter remains their home form. The team have won all four home matches in the current league campaign, scoring 18 goals without conceding once. Moreover, the club could become only the fourth team in Bundesliga history to win its first five home matches of a season without conceding. The last side to achieve this was Bayern Munich in the 2005/06 season.
Augsburg
Augsburg, by contrast, are going through a difficult spell. The team sit 10th with nine points after eight rounds. Their attacking numbers cannot be described as poor, however, with the players having scored 18 goals.
Augsburg have been unable to claim a league victory in their recent matches. The team drew with Union, lost to Elversberg, shared the points with Bayern Munich and then fell to Freiburg. Their only win during this stretch came in a German Cup match against Sonnenhof Großaspach, which ended 4-2. As a result, the team are now winless in six consecutive Bundesliga matches.
At the same time, Augsburg are capable of causing problems for even more illustrious opponents. Against Bayern Munich, for instance, the team managed to score twice and take a point. Another notable statistic concerns striker Michael Gregoritsch: his goal against Freiburg was his fifth in the first eight league rounds. As a result, the forward equalled the club record set by Ermedin Demirović in the 2023/24 season.
However, the trip to Leipzig will be a serious test for the visitors. The hosts have been outstanding at their own stadium, showing plenty of attacking firepower and a noticeably more reliable defence. Augsburg will have to find a way to stop their opponents’ attack while also addressing their own defensive problems.
Projected lineups
- RB Leipzig: Vandevoordt, Baku, Orbán, Lukeba, Raum, El Aynaoui, Banzuzi, Gruda, Nusa, Nkunku, Romulo.
- Augsburg: Dahmen, Matsima, Gouweleeuw, Keitel, Behrens, Fellhauer, Massengo, Rieder, Kade, Ibrahimović, Gregoritsch.
What to bet on?
RB Leipzig look like clear favourites for the upcoming encounter. Their home record is impressive, while Augsburg have gone a long time without a Bundesliga win and are conceding far too often. The visitors can rely on their attacking threat, but containing the hosts for the full 90 minutes will be extremely difficult. My pick is a Leipzig win.
