Chile - Argentina prediction, H2H and probable lineups - June 6, 2025
One of the fixtures of the 15th round of the South American qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup will take place on Friday at the "Julio Martínez Prádanos" stadium in Santiago, where Chile will face Argentina. I suggest a bet on goals in this clash with a good chance for success.
Match preview
Chile enters the decisive stretch of qualification in a critical state: just 10 points from 14 matches and sitting at the bottom of the table. Ricardo Gareca's side have been desperately lacking attacking ideas, managing only 9 goals, and every defeat brings them closer to missing a third consecutive World Cup. Amid general instability, the team continues to rely on its veterans — Alexis Sánchez and Arturo Vidal — while top scorer Eduardo Vargas accounts for a third of all the team's goals.
It’s worth noting that Chile performs much more confidently at home — 9 out of their 10 points have been earned at the "Nacional" in Santiago. However, personnel issues, including injuries to Paulo Díaz and Luciano Cabral, severely limit rotation options. In this situation, "La Roja" will have to play cautiously and conservatively, relying on tight defending and individual brilliance from their leaders.
Argentina has already secured their ticket to the 2026 World Cup, leading their nearest rivals by 8 points. Even without pressure, Lionel Scaloni’s squad remains highly motivated — in recent rounds, the "Albiceleste" defeated Uruguay and thrashed Brazil, underlining their status as continental favorites. The best attack of the qualifiers (26 goals), a reliable defense (8 conceded), and a deep bench make Argentina almost untouchable.
In the upcoming match, the team will be without several key players — Paredes, Otamendi, Enzo Fernández, and González are all absent, but the return of Lionel Messi offsets these losses. Moreover, Scaloni is actively integrating youth — 16-year-old talent Franco Mastantuono, already attracting interest from top European clubs, has been called up. Even with an experimental lineup, Argentina remains the favorite against an inconsistent Chile.
Probable lineups
- Chile: Brayan Cortés – Felipe Loyola, Gabriel Suazo, Guillermo Maripán, Benjamín Kuscevic – Rodrigo Echeverría, Vicente Pizarro, Arturo Vidal – Dario Osorio, Diego Alfonso Valdés, Eduardo Vargas
- Argentina: Emiliano Martínez – Nahuel Molina, Cristian Romero, Nicolás Otamendi, Nicolás Tagliafico – Exequiel Palacios – Rodrigo De Paul, Thiago Almada, Lionel Messi, Alexis Mac Allister – Julián Álvarez
Match facts and head-to-head
- Argentina have won 10 of 14 matches in the current qualifiers.
- In the last three official meetings between Chile and Argentina, the "Albiceleste" have always come out on top.
- The under 2.5 goals bet has landed in three of the last five encounters.
Prediction
Argentina looks far superior both in terms of squad depth and match sharpness, even with several key absentees. Chile are cornered, but have shown neither consistent defense nor attacking flair. Given the nature of matches between these teams and the visitors’ motivation to maintain their lead, betting on an Argentina win with low scoring seems the most logical. Our pick: "Under 2.5 goals" at odds of 1.65.
