Ceuta vs Malaga: prediction, bets, line-ups, facts and H2H - 16 May 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga prediction Photo: https://x.com/MalagaCF
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Finished
1 : 4
Spain, Estadio Alfonso Murube
Einar Galilea
52' (OG)
4'
Joaquin Munoz
13' 42'
Chupe
82'
Aaron Ochoa

On Saturday, 16 May, Ceuta will face Malaga in Matchday 40 of Spain’s Segunda Division. Kick-off is scheduled for 16:15 CET, and I’m offering a betting pick for this clash.

Ceuta vs Malaga: match facts and H2H

  • Ceuta are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording four draws and one victory.
  • At home, they have gone four games without defeat, with three draws and one win.
  • Malaga have won their previous two matches.
  • Malaga have scored at least once in each of their last seven games.
  • Malaga have won 23% of their matches this season without conceding.
  • In 31% of this campaign’s matches, Malaga have scored in both halves.
  • Malaga have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four matches.
  • Malaga defeated Ceuta 2-1 in the most recent meeting between the sides.

Ceuta vs Malaga: match preview

Ceuta are currently sitting in mid-table in the Segunda Division and are no longer in contention for the top places, while they are also safe from relegation. The team have collected 55 points from 39 matches. They are 19 points clear of the drop zone, while the gap to sixth place stands at ten points.

With only three rounds remaining, their season is effectively winding down. They are unbeaten in their last five matches, although four of those ended in draws, with just one victory.

Malaga have won their last two matches and have claimed three victories in their previous five outings. The side are currently battling for a return to Spain’s top flight. After 39 rounds, they have collected 66 points and occupy fourth place in the standings. That position would secure a place in the promotion play-offs for La Liga.

However, their advantage over seventh place is only two points, meaning there is still work to do to secure their right to compete in the promotion play-offs. At the same time, they are just five points behind second place, so automatic promotion remains mathematically possible. With three rounds remaining, nine points are still up for grabs.

Probable line-ups

  • Ceuta: Guillermo, Carlos Hernández, Redru, Bodiger, Aisar Ahmed, Lachhab, Illescas, Rubén Díez, De La Fuente, Kuki Zalazar, Marcos Fernández
  • Malaga: Alfonso Herrero, Rafita, Einar Galilea, Carlos Puga, Murillo, Merino, Carlos Dotor, Larrubia, Brašanac, Adrián Niño, Joaquín

Prediction

Malaga are carrying enormous motivation and are in strong form right now. I believe they will extend their winning run, and that is my recommended betting pick for this match.

Prediction on game Win Malaga
Odds: 1.9
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4.95
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