Can Brisbane Break Its Losing Streak At Home Against Tasmania? Brisbane Bullets vs Tasmania JackJumpers Prediction | October 3, 2026
Brisbane Bullets
Tasmania Jackjumpers
Brisbane Bullets will host Tasmania JackJumpers on October 3 in the NBL. Both teams have won two of their opening three games, but they arrive in different moods. Brisbane lost its latest game to Sydney, while Tasmania bounced back from its only defeat by beating Melbourne United.
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Match Preview
Brisbane made a positive start to the new season, opening with a win over New Zealand Breakers before beating Illawarra Hawks 103-95 at home. However, the Bullets then suffered their first defeat, losing 78-93 away to Sydney.
Jaylin Williams led Brisbane with 19 points, eight rebounds and two assists in that game, while Arnas Velicka added 15 points, two rebounds and five assists. Velicka has been one of the team's important offensive players early in the season.
The Bullets had a difficult campaign last season, finishing at the bottom of the NBL standings with just six wins from 33 games. Their home record was particularly poor, as they won only two of 16 games in Brisbane. They have already matched that total this season after winning their opening two home games.
However, Tasmania have traditionally been a difficult opponent for Brisbane. The JackJumpers have won the last two meetings in Brisbane, while the Bullets have won only two of their last six home games against Tasmania.
Tasmania also started the season with a home victory, beating South East Melbourne Phoenix before losing 87-93 away to Cairns Taipans. The JackJumpers responded in their latest game, defeating Melbourne United at home.
That result leaves Tasmania with the same 2-1 record as Brisbane after three rounds. Both teams have won their two home games and lost their only away fixture so far, meaning Tasmania will now attempt to record its first road victory of the season.
Last season, Tasmania finished sixth in the regular season with 14 wins and 19 defeats, before losing to Melbourne United in the opening round of the playoffs. The JackJumpers won eight of their 17 away games last season.
The recent head-to-head record strongly favours Tasmania. The JackJumpers have won five of the last six meetings between the teams and seven of the last 10 overall. Their advantage has also been particularly clear in Brisbane, where they have won the last two encounters.
Key Trends
- Brisbane and Tasmania both have 2-1 records after three games.
- Brisbane and Tasmania won both of their home games but lost their only away game.
- Tasmania have won 5 of their last 6 meetings with Brisbane.
- Tasmania have won 7 of the last H2H 10 meetings.
- Tasmania have won the last 2 meetings in Brisbane.
Prediction
Both teams have made a similar start to the new NBL season, but their recent results and head-to-head record give Tasmania an important advantage. Brisbane have already shown that they can be effective at home, winning both of their games in front of their supporters. However, the Bullets' home record was one of the weakest in the NBL last season, and their recent history against Tasmania has also been difficult. The JackJumpers have won five of the last six meetings between these teams and have taken the last two games in Brisbane. They also come into this matchup after an important victory over Melbourne United, while Brisbane suffered a 15-point defeat to Sydney in their previous outing. Tasmania's away record from last season also provides a positive indication, with eight wins in 17 road games. The home side should make this a competitive game, but Tasmania's recent form against the Bullets and their clear head-to-head advantage make the visitors the more convincing side in this matchup. Recommended Bet: Tasmania JackJumpers to Win
