Brighton vs Everton: prediction, head-to-head and probable line-ups – 31 January 2026

Brighton vs Everton prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Finished
1 : 1
England, Brighton, The American Express Community Stadium
Pascal Gross
73'
90' + 7
Beto

One of the fixtures of the 24th round of the English Championship will take place on Saturday at the Amex Stadium in Brighton, where the local side Brighton & Hove Albion will host Everton. Let’s take a closer look at a bet on a low-scoring outcome in this evenly matched encounter.

Match preview

The Seagulls are enduring a tough spell—just one win in their last ten league games and the highest percentage of first-half goals conceded in the division. Despite injuries and a modest points tally since December, the team is holding steady mid-table and showing resilience at home, suffering just one defeat in 11 home matches.

Fabian Hürzeler is striving to find balance, rotating his squad based on player fitness, but consistent results remain elusive. Minteh and Rutter could return to the starting eleven, while Danny Welbeck—who has notched 10 goal contributions against Everton—will once again be a key figure up front.

David Moyes’ side are also treading water in mid-table, sitting four points off the European places. The Toffees have only two wins in their last eight outings, but have conceded just 26 goals in 23 matches. Everton’s strength lies in their solid defence and minimalist approach: their matches are among the lowest-scoring in the league.

On the road, Everton have been particularly impressive: five clean sheets in their last six away fixtures and three consecutive wins without conceding. In attack, much will again hinge on Thierno Barry, who has scored four goals in his last five appearances, while Michael Keane returns to bolster the back line.

Probable line-ups

  • Brighton: Verbruggen, Kadioglu, Dunk, Van Hecke, De Kuiper, Ayari, Gross, Minteh, Rutter, Mitomo, Welbeck
  • Everton: Pickford, O’Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko, Gueye, Garner, Ndiaye, Armstrong, McNeil, Barry

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Brighton have not beaten Everton at home in their last five Premier League meetings
  • Everton have kept a clean sheet in five of their last six away games
  • Only three of the last 16 head-to-head matches between these teams have ended in a draw

Prediction

Both sides are far from their best form, but under Moyes, Everton look the more pragmatic and balanced unit. Brighton are strong at home but often struggle to maintain intensity for the full 90 minutes, frequently dropping points late on. Expect a tense, low-scoring affair, likely to be settled by a single goal—either a draw or a narrow win for either side.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.91
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