Battle of the champions of the last two years. Prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty
Las Vegas Aces
New York Liberty
The WNBA regular season brings us a fierce rivalry: the Las Vegas Aces will host the New York Liberty. The clash is set for the night of Wednesday, June 24, with tip-off at 04:00 Central European Time. I'm offering a bet on the scoring output of this matchup.
Head-to-head and statistical facts
- The Aces have won four consecutive home games.
- Las Vegas has suffered only one defeat in their last nine outings.
- Liberty have lost their last two games.
- In the last ten meetings in Las Vegas, each team has secured five victories.
Las Vegas Aces come into the game as one of the most prolific and ambitious teams of the 2026 season, firmly entrenched among the Western Conference leaders. The squad is among the top two in overall win-loss record, keeping the fight alive for first place in the conference.
Recently, the Aces have shown consistent and impressive form. On June 21, they convincingly defeated the Golden State Valkyries (92:73), displaying ferocious defense and tempo control. However, just a few days earlier, they suffered a tough loss to the Dallas Wings (66:96), completely collapsing in the second half.
Before that, the team put together a winning streak: triumphs over the Minnesota Lynx (100:97) and Seattle Storm (101:91) highlighted the squad’s offensive firepower. Still, the alternation between dazzling wins and heavy defeats remains the main issue for the Aces this season, especially in road games.
The backbone of the Aces is A’ja Wilson, delivering yet another elite season and dominating on both ends of the court. The entire game plan revolves around her, but the team’s reliance on its stars sometimes makes them vulnerable against organized opponents like Liberty.
New York Liberty enter the matchup as one of the top contenders in the Eastern Conference, confidently holding a spot in the league’s top five. The team has displayed a high level of consistency throughout the season, though not without some tense finishes.
Liberty’s recent schedule has been packed. They recently suffered a frustrating loss to the Washington Mystics (83:86), letting the game slip away in the closing moments, and narrowly fell to the Los Angeles Sparks (97:98). Prior to that, the New York club racked up eight straight wins, including convincing victories over the Chicago Sky, Washington Mystics, Indiana Fever, and Atlanta Dream.
Despite recent setbacks, Liberty remain one of the most balanced teams in the league. Their offensive structure is particularly impressive, with Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones playing pivotal roles in both scoring and rebounding.
However, the biggest question mark is their late-game execution under pressure. On several occasions this season, Liberty have squandered leads in the final minutes, which could become a critical factor against Las Vegas, a team renowned for closing out games thanks to the experience of their leaders.
What’s the bet?
Given current form, Las Vegas’s home-court advantage, and the more reliable performances from their key players, the Aces hold a slight edge. Still, Liberty look strong enough to keep this battle tight right to the end. My pick is for the total points to go over 170.
