Atletico MG vs Flamengo: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — April 27, 2026
The clash between Atletico Mineiro and Flamengo, part of the 13th round of the Brazilian championship, is set to take place in the early hours of April 27, 2026, at 01:30 Central European Time at the MRV Arena in Belo Horizonte.
Match preview
Atletico Mineiro find themselves in a tough spot, currently sitting 12th in the league table. Despite a recent 2-1 victory over Ceara in the Brazilian Cup, their league campaign has been rocky: a 0-2 loss to Coritiba in the last round only underscored the team’s struggles in both finishing and defense. The hosts are under pressure to redeem themselves in front of their fans at the MRV Arena, where they traditionally play with aggression, but now they’re up against one of the most balanced sides in the league.
Squad issues are a major concern for “the Roosters.” Renan Lodi is suspended after a straight red card, while injuries to Alan Minda and Patrick drastically reduce their lineup options. Coach Eduardo Dominguez will be forced to experiment with his defensive and midfield set-up, and against a powerhouse like Flamengo, these changes could prove decisive, potentially leaving gaps at the back.
Flamengo, under Leonardo Jardim, arrive in Belo Horizonte riding high, with three straight league wins under their belt. The Rubro-Negro are confidently in second place, playing impressive football: in 11 rounds, they’ve netted 20 goals and conceded just 10. Key players like Giorgian De Arrascaeta and Jorginho are in top form, consistently delivering and giving the team an edge both in creation and finishing.
However, the visitors also have personnel issues that can’t be ignored. Eric Pulgar (shoulder injury), Lucas Paquetá (thigh injury), and the suspended Jorge Carrascal are all unavailable. These absences in midfield force Jardim to adjust his tactical setup, which could temporarily impact Flamengo’s fluidity in transition. Still, the squad’s depth means Flamengo remain favorites, even with these setbacks.
Key facts and head-to-head
- Atletico Mineiro have conceded in each of their last six matches.
- Over two goals have been scored in five of Atletico Mineiro’s last seven matches.
- Flamengo are on a six-game winning streak.
- Flamengo have scored first in their last five games.
- In the last ten meetings between these two sides, Flamengo have the edge with six wins, Atletico Mineiro have won twice, and two matches ended in a draw.
- The last match between these teams at Atletico Mineiro’s ground ended in a 1-1 draw.
Probable lineups
- Atletico Mineiro: Everson - Natanael, Ruan, Lyanco, Pescini - Scarpa, Franco, Maycon, Hugo - Hulk, Reinier
- Flamengo: Rossi - Varela, Ortiz, Pereira, Lucas - Araujo, Jorginho, de Arrascaeta - Araújo, Lino, Pedro
Prediction
Flamengo look the more stable unit, capable of getting a result away from home thanks to their high-quality squad. However, Atletico Mineiro are always dangerous at home, and their determination to end their poor league run will make for an open contest. The current state of both teams points to a high probability of goals from both sides. My prediction: Both teams to score.
