Who will kick off the World Cup with a win in New Jersey? Prediction for the Brazil vs Morocco World Cup match

Brazil vs Morocco prediction Photo by Buda Mendes/Getty Images
World Cup (Round 1) 13 june 2026, 18:00
Finished
1 : 1
International, East Rutherford, New York/New Jersey Stadium
Vinicius Junior
32'
21'
Ismael Saibari

The spectacular 2026 World Cup is in full swing, and the first round of the group stage brings us arguably the most tantalizing fixture of the entire opening week. In the night from Saturday to Sunday, June 14, 2026, at 00:00 Central European Time, the legendary MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford will host a titanic Group C showdown between Brazil and Morocco.

Both teams landed in a group with Scotland and Haiti. With these two squads considered the main favorites to advance, their head-to-head clash on American soil is a planetary-scale battle for top spot in the group.

Historically, the teams have met twice. At the World Cup, Brazil thrashed Morocco 3-0 in 1998 (with goals from Ronaldo, Rivaldo, and Bebeto). However, their most recent friendly in March 2023 ended in a sensational 2-1 win for Morocco in Tangier, thanks to goals from Boufal and Sabiri. The Africans know exactly how to beat this Brazilian side.

Brazil arrives at the tournament carrying massive pressure—the Seleção haven't claimed gold since 2002 and have been regularly knocked out at the quarterfinal stage. Under Carlo Ancelotti, the Brazilians have noticeably changed their style. The carefree carnival has been replaced by strict European discipline, central control, and a rock-solid defense. In their pre-tournament friendlies, Brazil impressed, defeating Panama (6-2) and Egypt (2-1). On the downside, defender Wesley suffered a serious injury and has been excluded from the squad, while Neymar is still not fully fit.

Carlo Ancelotti will rely on suffocating ball possession and explosive wing play. With Neymar not 100% and unlikely to start, all the attacking magic will fall on the shoulders of the jet-heeled Vinicius and the talented Raphinha. In midfield, Bruno Guimarães and the experienced Casemiro will be tasked with instantly breaking up Moroccan counterattacks.

Morocco, meanwhile, are 2022 World Cup semifinalists and reigning African champions, and they've landed in the USA determined to prove their historic run in Qatar was no fluke. Under new coach Mohamed Ouabi (who replaced Walid Regragui), the team has found blistering form. In their warm-ups, the Atlas Lions demolished Burundi (5-0) and Madagascar (4-0), then played out a pragmatic 1-1 draw with Norway. The bad news: key defender Nayef Aguerd and winger Abde Ezzalzouli miss the tournament through injury, forcing the coaching staff to reshuffle the defensive line.

The Moroccans will set up a compact, deep defensive block, depriving Brazil of space. They'll deliberately concede possession and territory, trusting in their impeccable off-the-ball organization—which helped them knock out Spain and Portugal two years ago. The Lions' main weapon: lightning-fast breaks down the flanks and set pieces.

Probable lineups

  • Brazil: Alisson - Danilo, Marquinhos, Magalhães, Sandro - Guimarães, Casemiro, Paqueta - Raphinha, Vinicius Jr., Cunha
  • Morocco: Bono - Hakimi, Diop, Riad, Mazraoui - Amrabat, El Aynaoui, Ounahi - Díaz, Rahimi, Saïbari

Prediction

The bookmakers see Brazil as the favorite. At the start of a World Cup group stage, big-name teams are always expected to deliver a show, and given the squads' current situations, this clash has all the makings of a goal-fest at MetLife Stadium.

Yes, Ancelotti values balance, but containing the attacking avalanche of Vinicius and Raphinha is nearly impossible. The key factor pointing to a high score: Morocco's defensive absences. Without their main center-back Nayef Aguerd, it's going to be incredibly tough for the Africans to hold off Brazil for 90 minutes. At the same time, the counterattacking potential of the Atlas Lions—with Brahim Díaz and Hakimi—is so dangerous that they're more than capable of catching the Seleção on a mistake and adding to the goal tally. My prediction: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction on game Total over 2.5
Odds: 2.1
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