Will Haaland score his customary goal against Pickford? Prediction for the Norway vs England World Cup quarter-final

Norway vs England prediction Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images
World Cup (Round Quarter Finals) 11 july 2026, 17:00
Finished
1 : 2
International, Miami, Miami Stadium
Andreas Schjelderup
36'
45' + 2 93'
Jude Bellingham

On Saturday night, at 23:00 Central European Time, the dazzling Hard Rock Stadium in Miami will set the stage for one of the most intriguing quarter-final showdowns of the World Cup—Norway's national team taking on the mighty England.

This tournament has already become legendary for the Norwegians: for the first time in their history, they've made it this far at a major international event. Meanwhile, Thomas Tuchel's squad is determined to break the curse of previous years and reach the World Cup semi-finals for the fourth time in their history.

In recent history, these teams have barely crossed paths at major tournaments, facing off only twice in friendlies in the 21st century:

  • 03.09.2014 (Friendly): England vs Norway - 1:0. A narrow win for the Three Lions thanks to Wayne Rooney's penalty in the second half.
  • 26.05.2012 (Friendly): Norway vs England - 0:1. England triumphed again, this time in Oslo, thanks to an early strike from Ashley Young in the 9th minute.

As we can see, in the modern era, Norway has yet to score against England—and they have never met in a World Cup match. The 2026 quarter-final in Miami will be the first official tournament clash between these sides this century.

Norway

The Scandinavians have won over neutral fans at this World Cup with their fearless, open style of football. In the round of 16, Norway pulled off a sensation by defeating Brazil 2-1, with Erling Haaland—unsurprisingly—the main hero, netting a brace. Norway has a unique and daunting trend: they've both scored and conceded in all five matches at this tournament. Haaland is in sensational form, scoring in 14 consecutive official matches for the national team.

The Norwegians neither know how nor intend to bunker down in defense. Their plan is to catch England with rapid transitions from defense to attack, utilizing Martin Ødegaard's brilliant passes to set Haaland free. The stats are tantalizing: Haaland has made life hell for Jordan Pickford in the Premier League, scoring seven goals from just ten shots on target against him.

England

The Three Lions have reached the quarter-finals through heart-stopping thrillers. First, a nerve-wracking 2-1 victory over DR Congo, with a late Harry Kane double, followed by a spectacular 3-2 win against hosts Mexico in a cauldron-like Azteca. But the road to the last eight came at a cost: due to a red card, key defender Jarell Quansah will miss the Miami showdown. All eyes are once again on Harry Kane, who with six goals is neck and neck with Haaland, Mbappé, and Messi in the race for the World Cup Golden Boot.

Thomas Tuchel will look to dominate the midfield. The team's engine will be the sensational Elliot Anderson, who leads the squad in tackles, interceptions, and ball progression, alongside Jude Bellingham, who does a mountain of pressing work. England will methodically stretch the flanks and bombard the box with crosses for Kane, who is a master in the air.

This is England's 11th World Cup quarter-final—only Brazil and Germany have played more at this stage. But the Three Lions have a historical stumbling block: they've only advanced past this round three times, and in 7 out of their previous 10 quarter-finals, England have conceded two or more goals.

Probable line-ups

  • Norway: Nyland - Ryerson, Ajer, Heggem, Møller Wolfe - Berge, Ødegaard, Berg - Sørloth, Nusa, Haaland
  • England: Pickford - Spence, Konsa, Stones, O'Reilly - Anderson, Rice, Bellingham - Saka, Gordon, Kane

Prediction

Both teams boast explosive attacking lines but also have glaring defensive issues (especially England without the suspended Quansah). Given that Norway has consistently played high-scoring matches at this World Cup and England just wrapped up a 3-2 thriller against Mexico, expect a fireworks-filled, end-to-end encounter. My prediction: Over 2.5 total goals.

Prediction on game Total over 2.5
Odds: 1.72
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