Tbilisi side close to advancing, but visitors will take another risk: prediction for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Mondorf-les-Bains

Dinamo Tbilisi vs US Mondorf les Bains prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
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International, Tbilisi, Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
US Mondorf les Bains US Mondorf les Bains

The second leg of the 2026/27 UEFA Conference League first qualifying round between Dinamo Tbilisi and Mondorf-les-Bains will take place on July 16, 2026, at the Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in Tbilisi. The Georgian club claimed a 2-1 victory in the first encounter, but this slender lead still leaves the European debutants with a fighting chance to progress to the next stage.

Dinamo Tbilisi: home form should help build on success

Temuri Ketsbaia's side came out firing in the first leg, racing to a two-goal lead by the 20th minute. However, the Tbilisi team eased off, allowed their opponents to pull one back, and turned what looked like a formality into a real battle for a place in the second round.

Since their trip to Luxembourg, Dinamo haven't played any official matches, so major changes in the lineup are not expected. Once again, much will depend on Mate Vatsadze, while home statistics boost the hosts' confidence: they've claimed four wins and scored 11 goals in their last five matches in Tbilisi, though they've only kept a clean sheet once in that span.

Mondorf-les-Bains: attacking courage keeps the tie alive

The Luxembourg side didn't crumble after conceding two early goals and managed to put up a real fight against their more experienced rivals. Martin Forkel's team registered eight shots on target, just three fewer than Dinamo, and Hatim Farah's goal ensured the tie remains wide open.

No significant changes are expected in the visitors' starting lineup either, but Jean-Paul Koumbi could replace Lenny Stolz up front. Last season, Koumbi netted nine goals and provided seven assists, so his inclusion could add some extra bite to Mondorf's attack in a match where the visitors simply have to find the net.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • The first leg ended in a 2-1 win for Dinamo Tbilisi.
  • Both teams have scored in five of Dinamo's last seven matches and in Mondorf's previous three games.
  • At least three goals have been scored in five of Dinamo's last seven outings and in five of the last eight away matches for the Luxembourg side.

Will the hosts hold on? Prediction for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Mondorf-les-Bains

Dinamo approach the return leg in a more favorable position: they have a narrow lead, greater international experience, and look far more convincing on home turf. However, Tbilisi's inconsistent defense still gives the visitors a real chance to create and score again.

Mondorf are likely to play boldly, as a cautious approach won't help them overturn the deficit. An open game should provide the hosts with space, and Vatsadze and his teammates are more than capable of exploiting that.

Prediction on game W1(-1.0)
Odds: 1.58
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