Spain vs Netherlands prediction, H2H and probable lineups — March 23, 2025
Leo Peterson
Dailysports's expert
Translated by the editors
On March 23, 2025, the "Mestalla" stadium in Valencia will host the return leg of the UEFA Nations League quarter-finals featuring Spain and the Netherlands. I suggest betting on goals in this encounter.
Preview
The first match in Rotterdam was truly thrilling. The game kept everyone on edge from the start, with momentum constantly shifting between the teams. Both squads took turns being in the chasing position, and the match ultimately ended in a fair fighting draw — 2:2, leaving all decisive events for the return leg.
The reigning European champions confidently swept through the Nations League group stage, affirming their status as favorites. After a goalless draw in the first round against Serbia, "La Furia Roja" gained maximum momentum, winning all of their remaining five matches. During this stretch, the Spaniards scored 13 times, conceding only 4 goals.
Moreover, the team is showcasing impressive consistency: for 17 consecutive matches across all tournaments, they have left the field unbeaten. During this period, Spain has recorded 14 victories and only 3 draws.
Ronald Koeman's squad confidently advanced through the group stage, finishing second in a tough group with Germany, Hungary, and Bosnia. Their only defeat was minimal — a 0:1 away loss to "Die Mannschaft". In other matches, the Netherlands delighted their fans with two home victories, and the remaining three matches ended in draws. This result allowed the "Oranje" to advance to the playoffs, where they were drawn against the reigning European champions.
The head-to-head history clearly favors the Netherlands. Spain's last victory dates back to the previous century, and since 2000, the "Oranje" have never lost to their formidable opponent. In seven matches against "La Furia Roja", they have secured four wins and played to a draw three times.
Probable lineups
- Spain: Simon, Cucurella, Porro, Gavi, Le Normand, Pedri, Zubimendi, Ruiz, Yamal, Williams, Morata
- Netherlands: Verbruggen, Geertruida, Van Hecke, Van Dijk, Frimpong, Reijnders, Kluivert, De Jong, Simons, Gakpo, Depay
Match facts and H2H
- The Spanish team is in fantastic form at home — "La Furia Roja" has won five consecutive home matches and remains unbeaten on home soil for ten matches in a row.
- Matches involving Spain are rarely dull: in the last nine matches, only twice has the "Total Under 2.5" been recorded.
- The Netherlands is known for their attacking style, and the statistics back this up. In their last 11 matches, the "Oranje" have failed to score only once.
- This encounter will be the first official duel between the teams on Spanish soil since 2000. In that friendly match held in Seville, the Netherlands emerged victorious over Spain with a 2:1 scoreline.
Prediction
The first match only confirmed that both teams have brilliant performers capable of not only changing the course of a particular episode but also determining the fate of the entire match. Given the attacking potential of both squads, I expect that in this clash, each will manage to score. My choice is the bet "Both teams to score" with odds of 1.74.
