Seattle comes alive after dazzling win: prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm - 03.07.2026
Phoenix Mercury
Seattle Storm
The WNBA regular season clash between the Phoenix Mercury and the Seattle Storm is set for Thursday at the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The hosts enter as favorites, while Seattle is pegged as the underdog with a +4.5 spread and a total set at 169.5.
Phoenix Mercury: A win on the board, but defensive issues persist
Phoenix sits at 7-13 and notched a win in their last outing, defeating the Toronto Tempo 89-80. The Mercury made the most of their free throws, going to the line 29 times and converting 21, while also taking care of the ball with just 8 turnovers.
Kahleah Cooper was the standout performer, racking up 27 points on 10-of-15 shooting and pulling down 5 boards in 34 minutes. However, Phoenix's defense remains a concern - they're giving up 86.8 points per game, allowing opponents to shoot 46.2% from the field and 36.9% from beyond the arc.
Seattle Storm: Statement win over Atlanta reveals hidden firepower
Seattle heads into this game with a 5-15 record, but their previous matchup was a statement performance, as they took down the Atlanta Dream 105-90. The Storm shot a blistering 60.3% from the field and knocked down 14 of 23 from deep, delivering one of their most explosive offensive outings of the season.
The star of the show was Flau'jae Johnson, who poured in 24 points on 9-of-12 shooting, adding 11 rebounds and 4 assists. On the season, Seattle averages just 81.1 points per game, but strong three-point shooting and a high free throw percentage give them a fighting chance even against steadier opponents.
Match facts
- Seattle Storm (W) are 5-15 but put up 105 points against the Atlanta Dream in their last game.
- Phoenix Mercury (W) are 7-13 and concede an average of 86.8 points per game.
- Seattle opened as a +4.5 underdog, with the total set at 169.5.
The underdog can make it close: prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm
Phoenix looks like the logical favorite thanks to home-court advantage and a more consistent offense, but the Mercury's edge isn't overwhelming enough to expect a blowout. Their own defensive lapses, especially on the perimeter, could be costly, and Seattle just showed they can pile up points quickly when their threes are falling.
Seattle remains inconsistent, but that victory over Atlanta gave the team a much-needed emotional boost. If the Storm keep the ball moving and get another strong outing from Flau'jae Johnson, they're more than capable of staying within the spread.
