Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo: prediction, head-to-head stats and probable lineups — 14.05.2026
One of the fixtures of La Liga’s 36th round will take place on Thursday at the Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, where the local giants Real will host Real Oviedo. The Madrid side are out of the title race but maintain a solid cushion in the battle for second place, while the visitors have already been mathematically relegated to the Segunda.
Match preview
Real come into this game on the back of a painful defeat to Barcelona in El Clásico — 0:2, having conceded both goals by the 18th minute and barely threatening up front. The atmosphere inside the club is far from stable: Álvaro Arbeloa is seeing out his final weeks, some players are at odds with the coach, and for Madridistas, the season has become little more than a formality.
The squad situation isn’t helping either: Kylian Mbappé is training individually and might only appear from the bench at best, while Militão, Valverde, Rodrygo, and Arda Güler are all sidelined with injuries. Still, Real’s quality tends to shine against lower-tier sides: they recently edged out Alavés 2-1 and beat Espanyol 2-0, with Vinícius Júnior hitting top form at the season’s end, racking up 4 goals and 1 assist in his last five outings.
Oviedo, after a 1-2 home defeat to Elche, completely lost momentum, then fell to Betis 0-3 and drew 0-0 with Getafe, conceding 22 shots in that match. That goalless draw officially sealed the Asturian side’s relegation to the Segunda, so they’ll arrive at the Bernabéu with no league pressure, but also lacking the desperate edge of a relegation battle.
The visitors will struggle to hold their shape in central and left areas: Javier López Carballo and Quasi Sibo are both suspended after straight reds, while Leander Dendoncker is injured. Against top clubs, Oviedo have barely put up a fight: just one point from seven games against the top four, and their first encounter with Real ended in a 0-3 defeat.
Probable lineups
- Real Madrid: Courtois, Garcia, Heisen, Rüdiger, Alexander-Arnold, Tchouaméni, Pitarch, Vinícius Júnior, Bellingham, Díaz, Garcia.
- Real Oviedo: Escandell, Vidal, Costas, Calvo, Alhassan, Fonseca, Colombatto, Chaira, Reina, Fernández, Viñas.
Match facts and head-to-head
- In the first half of the season, Real comfortably beat Oviedo 3-0.
- Oviedo have picked up just one point in seven matches against La Liga’s top four.
- Fewer than four goals have been scored in each of Real’s and Oviedo’s last six league matches.
Real have received 67 yellow cards this season (only Barcelona have fewer), but have racked up seven reds (only Rayo and Oviedo have more).
Madrid have conceded in the second half in six of their last eight league matches.
The “both teams to score – yes” bet has landed in seven of the last nine rounds involving Los Blancos.
- Oviedo have been shown 10 red cards this season — the worst record in La Liga.
Prediction
Real are far from their best right now, but even in cruise-control mode, their individual class should be decisive against the league’s bottom side. Oviedo will likely sit deep, but the absence of Carballo and Sibo leaves them even more vulnerable — right where you need maximum discipline at the Bernabéu.
