Prediction for Hajduk vs Raków: the final hurdle before the group stage - 20.08.2026
On August 20 in Split, the first leg of the UEFA Conference League play-off round will feature Hajduk taking on Raków. At stake is a coveted spot in the main stage of the tournament, making every mistake potentially fatal. The decisive return leg is set for August 27 in Poland.
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Hajduk have reached this stage after a challenging European campaign. In the first qualifying round of the Europa League, the Croatians got past Žilina: a 2-0 home victory followed by a 1-2 defeat away. Next up was Cypriot side Pafos. Playing at Poljud, Hajduk claimed a 2-0 win, but then lost 0-1 away and were knocked out of the Europa League. After that, the Split club switched their focus to the Conference League.
And here, their confidence soared. In the third qualifying round, Hajduk left no doubt against Lithuanian side Žalgiris. After a 5-2 away win, the Croatians comfortably wrapped things up at home, thrashing their opponents 4-0. That’s 9 goals in two matches. Particularly pleasing for the fans is the team’s strong form at Poljud, where the passionate support always plays a crucial role. This European season, Hajduk’s average home attendance already tops 25,000 spectators.
Raków, meanwhile, approach this clash in fine European spirits. The Polish side started their qualifying campaign against Valletta, cruising through with 3-1 and 4-0 victories. The next round brought a sterner test—Sweden’s Hammarby. The first leg ended in a goalless draw, but Raków managed to clinch a 1-0 win in Stockholm. Once again, the Poles showcased their key qualities: discipline and the ability to withstand long stretches without the ball.
This promises an intriguing clash of styles. Hajduk will surely look to capitalize on their home advantage and take the initiative from the opening whistle. After scoring nine goals in two matches against Žalgiris, the Croatians will be full of attacking confidence. Raków, on the other hand, may rely on discipline, a compact defense, and quick transitions. In their last two Conference League qualifiers, the Poles didn’t concede a single goal.
That said, Hajduk must be careful not to overestimate themselves. Raków are experts at slowing down the game and making their opponents nervous. It’s crucial for the home side to score first—a quick goal could dramatically change the flow of the match.
All in all, I expect a tightly contested first leg. Backed by their fans, Hajduk will push forward and create chances, but Raków are unlikely to let them dictate the tempo for the full 90 minutes. I think the Croatians have the edge, but it’s unlikely to be a walk in the park.
My prediction: both teams to score – yes.
