Parma vs Roma Prediction, Match preview and Lineups — 10 May 2026
On May 10, 2026, in Matchday 36 of the Serie A season, Parma will host Roma. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Match preview
Parma come into this match after a 0-2 away defeat against reigning champions Inter, a result that ended their solid run of four consecutive matches without defeat.
It is worth noting that Parma’s recent games have generally been very cautious and low-scoring, with the team now involved in six consecutive matches finishing under 2.5 goals. In the league standings, Parma sit in 12th place and no longer have any major objectives for the remainder of the season. They hold a comfortable 14-point gap above the relegation zone, while the European places are already far out of reach.
At home, however, the team have struggled throughout the season, recording just 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats. Looking at home meetings against Roma, the advantage has clearly been on Roma’s side in recent years. In the last seven home matches against this opponent, Parma have managed only two wins while losing five times.
Roma’s recent dominance in this fixture is also supported by their ability to consistently control games against lower-table sides, especially away from home where they often impose a high pressing tempo early in matches.
Another important trend is that the last five matches between these sides at Parma’s stadium all finished under 2.5 goals, with only one team scoring in each of those encounters.
Roma come into this match with strong motivation, as the team continue their battle for a Champions League spot. They have won their last two matches very convincingly, first beating Bologna 2-0 and then crushing Fiorentina 4-0. Overall, Roma are now unbeaten in four consecutive games.
In the Serie A standings, Roma currently sit in 5th place, just one point behind 4th-placed Juventus and only three points behind Milan in 3rd. The race for the top four remains extremely tight, giving Roma every reason to stay fully focused for the remainder of the season.
Away from home, Roma have been fairly solid this season, recording 8 wins, 1 draw, and 8 defeats, which is the seventh-best away record in Serie A.
Importantly, Roma have shown a clear tendency to raise their level in key end-of-season matches, especially against mid-table opposition, where their attacking efficiency and game control have improved significantly in recent weeks.
Looking at the head-to-head record, Roma clearly hold the advantage in recent meetings against Parma. The team are currently on a three-match winning streak against this opponent, and overall have won 8 of the last 10 encounters, losing only twice.
It is also worth highlighting Roma’s strong recent form overall. In their last seven matches, they have won six times, and in four of those victories they managed to keep a clean sheet.
This combination of defensive stability and improved away consistency makes Roma particularly dangerous against sides like Parma, who struggle to create sustained pressure against stronger opponents.
Probable Lineups
- Parma: Suzuki, Ndiaye, Troilo, Circati, Valeri, Keita, Nicolussi, Bernabe, Delprato, Pellegrino, Strefezza
- Roma: Svilar, Hermoso, Mancini, Ndicka, Wesley, Kone, Cristante, Celik, Pisilli, Malen, Soule
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Parma have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.
- 9 of Parma’s last 10 matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Roma have won 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Roma have won 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
Prediction
The teams come into this match with very different objectives for the remainder of the season. Parma are comfortably positioned in mid-table and no longer have any serious tournament motivation, while Roma are fully focused on securing a Champions League place. Roma have been in excellent form recently, especially defensively, and continue to show consistency in important matches. Parma, meanwhile, tend to play cautious and low-scoring games, particularly against stronger opponents. Head-to-head meetings also clearly favor Roma, who have dominated this fixture in recent years and regularly controlled games through disciplined defensive performances. Roma’s superior motivation, combined with their current form and strong record against similar-level opposition, significantly increases their chances of dictating the tempo of this match from the start. Considering Roma’s motivation, current form, defensive reliability, and clear advantage in quality, the visitors look deserved favourites to take all three points in this matchup. Recommended bet: Roma to win — 1.6
