Golden State to test the favorite's resolve again: prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries - 21.06.2026
Las Vegas Aces
Golden State Valkyries
The Golden State Valkyries and Las Vegas Aces will face off on June 21, 2026, at the Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas. The hosts enter the game as favorites with a -3.5 spread, and the total is set at 167.5. However, with a 10-6 record, Golden State looks sturdy enough to challenge one of the league’s top contenders.
Las Vegas Aces: potent offense and the A’ja Wilson factor
Las Vegas comes into this matchup fresh off an 86-76 win over the Phoenix Mercury. The Aces made 31 of 68 field goal attempts, racked up 18 steals, and were solid from the free-throw line with 19 makes out of 25 tries. Even with a poor night from beyond the arc - just 5 of 21 - the team found a way to close out the victory.
The main strength of Las Vegas is their offensive organization. The Aces average 89.9 points per game, shoot 48.0% from the field, and lead the league in assists with 23.5 per contest. But their defense isn’t quite as flawless: they allow 86.5 points per game, let opponents hit 37.1% from three-point range, and sometimes struggle to control the tempo as confidently as a favorite should.
Golden State Valkyries: defeat against Minnesota, but defense remains elite
In their last outing, Golden State fell to the Minnesota Lynx, 75-81. The Valkyries hit just 35.1% from the field, knocked down 12 threes out of 40 attempts, and were less than stellar at the free-throw line, going 11-for-17. Still, they collected 41 rebounds, handed out 20 assists, and stayed competitive despite efficiency struggles.
Golden State’s trump card is defense. The Valkyries allow just 78.6 points per game - the best mark in the WNBA - and hold opponents to 42.0% shooting. With an average of 84.4 points scored per game and 36.4% shooting from deep, this team can hang with even the league’s most decorated opponents.
Match facts
- Golden State holds a 10-6 record and allows just 78.6 points per game - the best in the WNBA.
- Las Vegas sits at 11-4 and averages 89.9 points per game.
- The Aces lead the league in assists (23.5 per game) but allow an average of 86.5 points.
Underdog defense could be the game-changer: prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries
Las Vegas is justifiably favored: they’re at home, possess one of the league’s best offenses, and feature A’ja Wilson, who can decide games even against top-tier defenses. The Aces move the ball well, consistently create quality shots, and their overall class lets them control long stretches of play.
But Golden State’s presence near the top of the standings is no fluke. The Valkyries boast the league’s stingiest defense, regularly disrupt opponents’ rhythm, and have the perimeter firepower to punish Las Vegas for lapses on defense. With this spread, taking the underdog with the points looks like the most intriguing bet.
