Phoenix has a chance to prove its favorite status: prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm - 20.06.2026
Phoenix Mercury
Seattle Storm
Phoenix Mercury and Seattle Storm will face off on Saturday, June 20, at the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. Both teams are enduring a tough season, but the Mercury look more promising thanks to their more potent offense and home-court advantage.
Phoenix Mercury: offense shines, but defense still a concern
Phoenix holds a 4-12 record and dropped their last game to the Las Vegas Aces, 76-86. The Mercury made 27 of 57 shots from the field, knocked down 9 of 21 from beyond the arc, and were nearly perfect from the free-throw line - 13 of 14. However, their 20 turnovers seriously complicated their task and prevented them from staying in contention down the stretch.
The standout for Phoenix was Kahleah Copper, who poured in 26 points on 9-of-16 shooting. She also added 4 rebounds and 3 assists in 30 minutes. Overall, the Mercury average 81.8 points per game, shoot 42.4% from the field, and dish out 18.9 assists, but their defense remains problematic: the team allows 86.8 points on average and lets opponents hit 46.3% of their shots.
Seattle Storm: Malonga’s stellar outing couldn’t prevent defeat
Seattle comes into the game with a 3-13 record after falling to the Portland Fire, 89-94. The Storm put up a solid offensive effort: they made 32 of 67 shots from the field, hit 9 of 24 from three-point range, and converted 84.2% from the free-throw line. The team also handed out 22 assists and forced 12 turnovers, but it wasn’t enough to secure the win.
Dominique Malonga was the main figure for Seattle in that contest. She scored 28 points on 12-of-19 shooting, grabbed 11 rebounds, and dished out 3 assists in 35 minutes. However, the Storm’s season averages remain modest: 77.2 points per game, 41.0% shooting from the field, and 31.6 rebounds per game - a profile of a team that struggles to maintain a high scoring tempo consistently.
Match facts
- Seattle stands at 3-13 and averages 77.2 points per game.
- Phoenix has a 4-12 record and averages 81.8 points per game.
Mercury look stronger on their home court: prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm
Seattle can stay in games thanks to occasional surges, and the matchup against Portland showed that the Storm can be competitive when they find an offensive rhythm. But over the long haul, the team has too many weaknesses: a low shooting percentage, rebounding issues, and inconsistent scoring. Even a strong individual performance from Malonga doesn’t guarantee results if the opponent gets too many opportunities.
Phoenix is far from perfect, especially on defense, but the Mercury boast a higher average scoring output, better shooting percentages, and a clear offensive leader in Copper. On their home floor against a team with a 3-13 record, the favorite should capitalize on their edge in class and tempo. With the current line, the pick remains with the hosts.
