Everton vs Leeds United prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups - January 26, 2026
The final match of Matchday 23 in the Premier League is set for Monday at the Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool, where the local side Everton will host Leeds United. I suggest a bet on the outcome of this clash, offering solid chances of success.
Match preview
After a surprising away win over Aston Villa, the Toffees once again reminded everyone of their fighting spirit. Despite personnel issues and a winless streak since the turn of the year, David Moyes' squad managed to squeeze the maximum out of a tough encounter against one of the favorites. That victory allowed them to briefly return to the top ten, but ongoing inconsistency—especially at home—remains a concern: three defeats and one draw in their last four games at Hill Dickinson.
The selection puzzle remains a headline topic: Grealish is out injured, and although Gueye and N'Diaye have returned from AFCON, they're not yet ready to contribute. The possible returns of Branthwaite and Alcaraz could bring more flexibility at the back, but Moyes still faces the challenge of balancing youthful energy with veteran experience. The attack is still missing a true clinical finisher, though Thierno Barry continues to impress.
Leeds have shown real transformation in recent rounds, and Daniel Farke's switch to a 3-5-2 formation is paying dividends. Wins over Derby and Fulham have boosted the team's confidence and pulled them out of immediate relegation danger. The victory against the Cottagers was especially crucial, with another game-changing cameo from Lukas Nmecha off the bench—he could again be a trump card against Everton.
But there are issues. Leeds haven't won away from home in the Premier League for eight matches now. While their play is more organized, consistency remains elusive. The injuries to Bijol and James complicate matters, but the return of Stach and the potential involvement of Gudmundsson offer hope of maintaining balance. Given that they've already beaten Everton this season, Farke's men certainly won't be coming to Liverpool just to make up the numbers.
Probable lineups
- Everton: Pickford, Patterson, O'Brien, Tarkowski, Mykolenko, Garner, Röhl, N'Diaye, Armstrong, McNeil, Barry
- Leeds United: Darlow, Justin, Struijk, Rodon, Bogle, Stach, Aaronson, Ampadu, Gudmundsson, Nmecha, Calvert-Lewin
Match facts and head-to-head
- Leeds could secure a league double over Everton in the Premier League for the first time in their history.
- Everton have not won at home since December, losing three of their last four games.
- Leeds' last away win in the Premier League was more than eight matches ago.
Prediction
Both teams are struggling in attack and lack consistency—Everton haven't won at home for some time but keep fighting, while Leeds are winless away but showing improvement. Injuries on both sides limit the options for impactful substitutions. Given the current form and setup, the most logical bet appears to be "Everton (0) Asian handicap" at odds of 1.84.
