Can San Antonio Extend Its Dominance Over Sacramento? San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings Prediction | October 28, 2026
San Antonio Spurs
Sacramento Kings
The San Antonio Spurs will host the Sacramento Kings on October 28 in an NBA regular-season matchup between two teams that have made contrasting starts to the 2026–27 campaign. San Antonio lost its first two games before recording a convincing win over Dallas, while Sacramento has suffered three consecutive defeats. The Spurs will now look to build on that result and end their early-season home struggles.
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San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio reached the NBA Finals last season, where it lost to New York, but the team had a difficult start to the new campaign. The Spurs opened with a 104–116 defeat to Oklahoma City before losing 110–114 to Houston. They responded in their latest outing by beating Dallas 122–106, recording their first win of the season.
Victor Wembanyama led the way against the Mavericks, finishing with 23 points, seven rebounds and two assists. Across San Antonio's first three games, Wembanyama has averaged 20 points and 11 rebounds per game, while rookie Dylan Harper has also contributed 20 points per contest. De'Aaron Fox has averaged 17.3 points and 8.3 assists, giving the Spurs another important offensive option.
Despite their latest victory, San Antonio has yet to win at home this season, losing both games played on its own court. The matchup with Sacramento offers an opportunity to change that record, particularly given the visitors' defensive difficulties.
The Spurs also have a favorable recent record against the Kings, winning four of their last five meetings. They have claimed their last three home games against Sacramento, giving them a strong recent record in this matchup.
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento endured a disappointing 2025–26 campaign, finishing with 22 wins and 60 losses and placing near the bottom of its conference. The team has continued to struggle in the early stages of the new season, losing all five of its preseason games before opening the regular season with three consecutive defeats.
The Kings began with a 96–121 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, followed by a 120–128 defeat to Portland. Their latest game ended in a 112–123 loss to Memphis.
Zach LaVine has been Sacramento's leading scorer, averaging 29 points per game across the opening three contests. Domantas Sabonis has contributed 18.7 points and 17.3 rebounds per game, while rookie Darius Acuff Jr. has averaged 22.3 points. However, individual production has not been enough to prevent the team from losing its first three games.
Sacramento is averaging 109.3 points per game while allowing 124 points, highlighting its difficulties at the defensive end. The Kings have also lost their last four meetings with San Antonio and have won only two of their last eight matchups against the Spurs.
Key Trends
- San Antonio have won their last 3 home matches against Sacramento.
- Sacramento have lost all 3 of their regular-season games this season.
- Sacramento have conceded 120 or more points in all 3 of their regular-season games.
- Sacramento have lost their last 4 matches against San Antonio.
Prediction
San Antonio enter this matchup with a clear opportunity to build on their first victory of the season. The Spurs showed their offensive potential by scoring 122 points against Dallas, while Wembanyama, Harper and Fox have all made significant contributions during the opening games. Their recent record against Sacramento, particularly at home, provides another reason to favor the hosts. The Kings have struggled to find consistency at both ends of the floor. Although LaVine and Sabonis have produced strong individual numbers, Sacramento have conceded an average of 124 points per game and remain winless after three regular-season outings. Their four-game losing streak against San Antonio adds to the challenge. San Antonio still need to demonstrate that they can perform consistently on their own court, but Sacramento's defensive problems and poor start make this a favorable matchup for the Spurs. The hosts have a good opportunity to secure their first home win and extend their recent dominance over the Kings. Recommended Bet: San Antonio Spurs -15 Asian Handicap