Romans should make home advantage count: Roma vs. Cagliari prediction

Roma vs Cagliari prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 9) 27 oct 2026, 15:45
- : -
Italy, Rome, Stadio Olimpico, Rome

The ninth-round Serie A clash between Roma and Cagliari will take place on October 27, 2026, at the Stadio Olimpico. The hosts are continuing their push for the top spots and head into the match after a high-scoring 3-3 draw with Napoli, while the Sardinians have suffered back-to-back defeats. Roma are unbeaten in the league in 15 matches, but trail Lazio by four points and cannot afford to drop more points.

Roma: unbeaten run continues

Gian Piero Gasperini's side showed character in Naples, coming from behind twice to snatch a 3-3 draw. The substitutions made a particularly strong impact: Leonardo Balerdi scored twice, while Matias Soulé also helped turn the match around. As a result, Roma extended their unbeaten run in Serie A to 15 games.

At home, however, the Romans have traditionally been particularly strong against Cagliari. In the last four seasons, the Sardinians have failed to score a single goal at the Olimpico and have not picked up a single point there. The hosts do have a number of absentees: Manu Koné, Mile Svilar and Lorenzo Pellegrini will not play, while Paulo Dybala remains a doubt, but the squad should have enough depth.

Cagliari: bright start replaced by two defeats

Fabio Pisacane's team had looked highly confident until recently. Cagliari recorded successive wins over Lecce, Atalanta and Udinese before drawing 1-1 with Juventus. However, two disappointing results followed: a 0-4 defeat to Monza and a 0-2 loss to Bologna.

The visitors' main problem now is the loss of their former defensive solidity. They are also dealing with selection issues: Riyad Idrissi, Mattia Felici and Yaël Trepy remain unavailable, while Harry Winks suffered a back injury in the last match and could miss this encounter. Under these circumstances, facing Roma at the Olimpico will be especially difficult.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Roma are unbeaten in their last 15 Serie A matches.
  • Cagliari have suffered two consecutive defeats, with an aggregate goal difference of 0-6.
  • In their last four away matches against Roma, Cagliari have failed to score and have not picked up a single point.

Home statistics point to the hosts: Roma vs. Cagliari prediction

Roma come into this game after an emotional clash in Naples, but home advantage and the difference in the teams' current form give them a significant edge. Even with some rotation, the hosts should control the game and create enough chances.

Cagliari can put up a fight through discipline and compactness, but their last two defeats have highlighted a clear decline. Given the visitors' extremely poor record at the Olimpico, a convincing Roma victory looks the most likely outcome.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - No
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