Can Derby End Their Winless Run at Home Against a Wrexham? Derby County vs Wrexham Prediction | October 10, 2026
Derby County host Wrexham at Pride Park on October 10 in the ninth round of the Championship. Both sides have struggled for consistency, but the visitors sit higher in the table and have lost fewer league matches. Derby, meanwhile, are still searching for their first home win of the campaign.
Match Preview
Derby County have endured a difficult start to the season. After exiting the EFL Cup in the first round, they have managed just one win in eight Championship matches. Their only victory in nine competitive games this season highlights their problems in turning performances into results.
A 1–1 draw with Burnley in the previous round ended a run of three consecutive defeats, but Derby remain 22nd with five points from eight league games. They have scored seven goals and conceded 14, leaving them with one win, two draws and five losses.
Their home form has been particularly concerning. Derby have taken just one point from four league matches at Pride Park, losing three times and failing to win any of them.
Wrexham, by contrast, have made a more solid start. They also exited the EFL Cup in the first round, but their league results have kept them in mid-table. After eight matches, they have two wins, four draws and two defeats, placing them 14th with 10 points. Their goal difference stands at 9:12.
Wrexham responded well to a heavy 6–0 defeat against West Ham by beating Southampton 2–1 in their most recent league match. They have lost only once in their last five matches, although four draws in eight league games show that converting competitive performances into victories remains a challenge.
Away from home, Wrexham have recorded one win, two draws and one defeat in four league matches. That record gives them a reasonable platform against a Derby side that has yet to win at Pride Park this season.
Head-to-Head
The teams have met seven times in official competitions, with Derby winning twice, Wrexham twice and three matches ending in draws. Derby hold a narrow advantage in goals scored, leading 10–9.
At Pride Park, Derby have won two of four meetings, with one draw and one Wrexham victory. However, the most recent league encounter at the stadium ended in a 2–1 win for Wrexham on January 4, 2026. Derby's biggest victory in this fixture was a 3–1 result in the FA Cup on January 6, 2007.
Key Trends
- Derby are winless in their last four matches.
- Derby have failed to win any of their four home league games this season.
- Wrexham have lost only once in their last five matches.
- Derby have conceded in four consecutive matches.
- Both teams scored in each of the three most recent head-to-head meetings.
Prediction
Neither team has been particularly convincing in recent weeks. Derby are winless in their last four matches, while Wrexham have managed just one victory in their last four outings. Both sides will be looking to improve their results, but their defensive records remain a concern. Derby have conceded in four consecutive matches and allowed 14 goals in eight Championship games, while Wrexham have conceded 12 over the same period. The head-to-head record also supports the goals market, with both teams scoring in each of the three most recent meetings. Considering the current form of both sides, their defensive weaknesses and the recent history of this fixture, another match with goals at both ends looks likely. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score — Yes
