Miguel Solomons
Dailysports's expert
Sweden
Azerbaijan
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On Tuesday, November 19, in the sixth round of the UEFA Nations League, Sweden will face Azerbaijan. Here’s a breakdown of the match details and an intriguing betting suggestion focusing on team goals.
Sweden vs Azerbaijan: Match Facts and Head-to-Head Stats
- Sweden is unbeaten in their last five matches, while Azerbaijan has failed to win in their previous five, recording four losses and one draw.
- The Swedes have scored at least two goals in each of their last five games.
- Sweden scores over 1.5 goals in 100% of their matches and exceeds 2.5 goals in 80%.
- Azerbaijan concedes goals in both halves in 30% of their matches, whereas Sweden scores in both halves in 40%.
- Sweden has kept a clean sheet in 40% of their recent matches, while Azerbaijan has lost the same percentage of games without scoring.
- Azerbaijani players receive over 5.5 yellow cards in 50% of their matches.
- The two teams have met five times in history: Sweden has won four, and Azerbaijan has won once.
Sweden vs Azerbaijan: Match Preview
Sweden has yet to lose in this year’s UEFA Nations League campaign. They’ve secured four wins and one draw, earning 13 points and guaranteeing the top spot in the group alongside promotion to League B. The Swedes have netted 13 goals and conceded just four across five games. Impressively, they have scored at least two goals in every match this season.
Azerbaijan, on the other hand, has no realistic motivation left, as they are already guaranteed to finish at the bottom of the table. They have not won a single game and, more critically, suffered a 1-3 loss to Estonia, who were their direct rivals in the fight to avoid relegation. Azerbaijan sits last in the group and third among the fourth-placed teams in their league. If they remain in this position, they’ll face direct relegation. While survival is technically possible, they would need to beat Sweden—an uphill task.
Predicted Lineups
- Sweden: Johansson; Starfelt, Hien, Gudmundsson; Holm, Karlström, Bergvall, Sema; Forsberg; Isak, Lidberg
- Azerbaijan: Jafarov; Aliyev, Mustafazada, B. Guseynov, Mamedov, Chafarguliyev; Sheydaev, Nuriyev, Isaev, Bayramov; Emreli
Prediction
Azerbaijan needs a win, but it’s an incredibly tall order. Sweden is in better form, playing at home, and boasts a superior squad. The Swedes have scored 13 goals in five games, while Azerbaijan has conceded the same number. My suggested bet is on Sweden's individual total goals to exceed 2.5, with odds of 1.83.
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