Guatemala vs Dominican Republic prediction, H2H and probable lineups - June 7, 2025

Guatemala vs Dominican Republic prediction Photo: skysports.com / Author unknown
Finished
4 : 2
International,
Dominican Republic Dominican Republic
Oscar Santis
6' 58' 61'
Nicolas Samayoa
52'
17'
Dorny Romero
36'
Heinz Moerschel

One of the clashes of the second round of the 2026 World Cup CONCACAF qualifiers will take place on Saturday at the Estadio Cementos Progreso, where Guatemala will face off against the Dominican Republic. Here’s a value pick for the outcome of this encounter with a solid odds line.

Match preview

The hosts are gathering momentum in the qualifiers, having confidently dispatched the British Virgin Islands (3-0) to cement their spot at the top of Group E. Carlos Ruiz's side also displayed their grit in a friendly against El Salvador, holding the lead for most of the game before conceding an equalizer in the dying minutes (1-1). Guatemala is already showcasing mature football, focused on control and compactness.

This team has improved its attacking output: in eight of their last nine matches, they've gone over 1.5 goals. At the same time, their defensive performance remains solid, making them favorites heading into this matchup. Given the tournament motivation and current form, the hosts are set to play exclusively for the win.

"Los Quisqueyanos" are on an impressive run: nine matches unbeaten, scoring at least two goals in each. In their latest friendly against Puerto Rico, Marcelo Neve's charges secured a routine 2-0 victory, having previously thrashed the British Virgin Islands 4-0 in the qualifiers. The team plays attacking football, making active use of the flanks and applying high pressing to their opponents.

However, against stronger opposition, the Dominican Republic still faces challenges, especially away from home. They'll have to overcome not only Guatemala's resistance but also the psychological pressure—a defeat would all but eliminate them from the fight to advance from the group. This could play a cruel trick when it comes to the result.

Probable lineups

  • Guatemala: Hagen, Herrera, Nuis, Samayoa, Ardon, Castellanos, Franco, Santis, Cardoza, Mendes-Laing, Rubin
  • Dominican Republic: Valdez J. – Breton L., Dollenmayer N., Lopez J., Firpo J. – Trinidad E., Vasquez R. – Peter Federico, Familia-Castillo J., Beltre M. – Diaz M.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Guatemala have won just one of their three head-to-head matches against the Dominican Republic, with two draws.
  • In their most recent meeting (June 2022), Guatemala claimed a confident 2-0 victory.
  • The Dominican Republic are unbeaten in nine straight matches, eight of which ended in victory.

Prediction

At this stage, Guatemala look the more stable and mature side, boasting home advantage and experience in key matches. The Dominican Republic have impressed with their recent form, but their opponents in those wins were far less challenging. Taking into account the tournament situation and the stats, I expect a confident win for the hosts. Our pick: "Guatemala to win" at odds of 1.97.

Prediction on game Win Guatemala
Odds: 1.97
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