Atalanta have gone four matches without a win, but Parma barely score: Atalanta vs Parma prediction
On November 2, Atalanta will host Parma at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo in the 10th round of the Italian Serie A. The hosts are looking to end a four-match winless run, while the visitors sit in the relegation zone. Despite their inconsistent results, Maurizio Sarri’s side are considered favorites thanks to their strong home record and their opponents’ attacking struggles.
Atalanta: high-scoring matches and defensive problems
Atalanta have been unable to win since the start of October, when they defeated Venezia (3-1) in Serie A and Pafos (3-1) in the Conference League. Since then, Sarri’s team have lost to Milan (2-3) and Ajax (0-2), before drawing with Frosinone (4-4) and Fiorentina (2-2). In their last three league matches, the Bergamo side have conceded nine goals, highlighting serious defensive problems.
At the same time, home performances remain Atalanta’s main strength: the team have earned 10 of their 11 points on home soil. A victory over Parma would move them closer to the European places. However, the hosts are dealing with a long injury list. Giacomo Raspadori, Gianluca Scamacca, Raoul Bellanova, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac, Odilon Kossounou and Gianluca Gaetano are unavailable. Franck Kessie and Thomas Kristensen are doubts. Their main attacking hope remains Nikola Krstovic, who has scored six league goals.
Parma: Serie A’s worst attack and a battle for survival
Parma have been without a win since the end of September, when they defeated Genoa (2-1). Since then, Alberto Gilardino’s team have suffered three consecutive defeats against Inter (0-3), Torino (0-3) and Lazio (1-2). In the previous round, they ended their losing streak with a goalless draw against Udinese (0-0), although Adrian Bernabe missed a penalty in the 69th minute. That point was not enough to lift them out of the relegation zone.
The visitors’ main weakness is their extremely poor scoring record. Parma have scored just five goals in nine rounds, the lowest tally in the league. David Romero and Simone Lontani have scored twice each, but the team lack a consistent source of goals. Lautaro Valenti and Nesta Elphege are doubts ahead of the trip to Bergamo. The away record against Atalanta is another cause for concern: Parma have lost five of their last six matches at this stadium.
Match facts and head-to-head record
- Atalanta have earned 10 of their 11 points in this season’s championship at home
- Parma have scored just five goals in nine rounds — the fewest in Serie A
- Atalanta have won seven of their last 10 head-to-head meetings with Parma
Will Atalanta return to winning ways? Atalanta vs Parma prediction
Atalanta are going through a difficult period, particularly in defense, but their home record gives them every reason to believe they can return to winning ways. Even with numerous absences, Sarri’s side possess a strong enough attack led by Krstovic.
Parma are struggling badly to create chances and rarely find the net. Given the visitors’ poor scoring record, Atalanta’s home advantage and the head-to-head statistics, we expect a confident home win to nil.
