Can Jagiellonia stop their losing streak? Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia prediction — 15.10.2026
On Thursday, October 15, 2026, Jagiellonia Białystok will host Ararat-Armenia at Chorten Arena in the second round of the UEFA Europa League league phase. Kick-off is scheduled for 21:00 local time. Both clubs suffered defeats in their opening European fixtures, making this encounter particularly important in the battle for a place in the knockout rounds.
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Jagiellonia: Four consecutive defeats and growing defensive concerns
Adrian Siemieniec's team are going through a difficult period. Jagiellonia have lost four consecutive competitive matches, including a 2-1 defeat against Olympiacos in their Europa League opener. Their domestic performances have been equally disappointing, with losses to Wisła Kraków (0-2), Legia Warsaw (1-3), and Górnik Zabrze (1-3).
These results have left Jagiellonia in 10th place in the Polish Ekstraklasa, with 12 points from nine matches. Defensive instability remains the biggest concern, as the team have conceded at least one goal in seven consecutive competitive fixtures.
However, their European home record offers some encouragement. Jagiellonia have won ten of their last 15 continental matches at home, demonstrating that they can perform considerably better in front of their supporters. During the Europa League qualifiers, they defeated Rangers 2-1 and Iberia 1999 4-0 at Chorten Arena.
Personnel problems complicate the situation. Striker Nik Prelec suffered an injury against Górnik Zabrze and is expected to miss several weeks, while Norbert Wojtuszek is sidelined with a groin problem. Their absences could force Siemieniec to adjust his attacking structure, potentially using Ousmane Sow as the central striker.
Jesús Imaz remains the main creative figure, while Kajetan Szmyt and Jeremy Agbonifo should provide additional attacking options. The hosts are expected to control possession, but their recent defensive performances suggest that maintaining a clean sheet will be difficult.
Ararat-Armenia: Better domestic form, but European weaknesses remain
Ararat-Armenia arrive in Poland with more encouraging domestic results. Under Portuguese head coach Tulipa, the Armenian club occupy third place in their national championship and have shown an ability to create chances consistently.
Their most recent league encounter ended in a 1-1 draw against Alashkert on October 10, with Artur Serobyan scoring the opening goal. Previously, Ararat-Armenia secured a 3-1 away victory over Shirak, highlighting their attacking potential.
However, their Europa League campaign began with a disappointing 4-1 home defeat against Sparta Prague. The Czech side repeatedly exploited spaces in Ararat-Armenia's defensive structure, exposing the difference between domestic success and competing against stronger European opposition.
Tulipa's side rely on compact defending and quick transitions. Karen Muradyan provides experience in midfield, while Serobyan and Zidane Banjaqui offer pace on the flanks. Sandro Lima is expected to lead the attack.
There have been no confirmed major injury or suspension concerns ahead of the trip to Poland. With their main attacking options available, the visitors should be capable of creating problems for Jagiellonia's vulnerable defense.
Probable lineups
- Jagiellonia (4-2-3-1): Abramowicz; Conceição, Vital, Kobayashi, Montóia; Finndell, Lozano; Agbonifo, Imaz, Szmyt; Sow.
- Ararat-Armenia (4-2-3-1): Bravim; Grigoryan, Wilson, Malis, Bueno; Muradyan, Oliveira; Serobyan, Bernardo Dias, Banjaqui; Lima.
Match facts and key statistics
- Jagiellonia have lost their last four competitive matches.
- The Polish side have conceded in seven consecutive competitive games.
- Jagiellonia have won ten of their last 15 European home matches.
- Ararat-Armenia have scored in each of their last five competitive matches.
- Both teams lost their opening Europa League fixtures, conceding six goals between them.
- This will be the first competitive meeting between the clubs.
Prediction: Both teams have enough attacking quality to exploit defensive weaknesses
Jagiellonia enter this match as favorites thanks to their home advantage and greater experience against strong European opposition. However, their recent performances raise serious questions about their defensive reliability. Four consecutive defeats and recurring mistakes at the back make it difficult to expect a convincing victory without conceding.
Ararat-Armenia have also struggled defensively against European opponents, as their heavy defeat to Sparta Prague demonstrated. Nevertheless, the Armenian side have been scoring regularly and possess enough speed and creativity to punish Jagiellonia in transition.
The hosts should generate several opportunities through Imaz and their wide attacking players, while Ararat-Armenia will look to exploit the spaces left behind when Jagiellonia push forward.
Considering the defensive vulnerabilities of both teams and their need to secure their first points, an exchange of goals looks like the most attractive scenario.
Prediction: Both teams to score — Yes.
