Can Ceuta finally end their winless streak? Ceuta vs Real Sociedad B prediction - 26.09.2026
AD Ceuta FC
Real Sociedad B
On Saturday, September 26, Ceuta will host Real Sociedad B at the Estadio Alfonso Murube in the seventh round of the Spanish Segunda División. The match kicks off at 14:00 local time. The hosts are still searching for their first league victory of the season, while the visitors have already collected eight points and remain unbeaten on their travels. Can Ceuta finally turn things around, or will the Basque side extend their impressive away record?
Ceuta: A disastrous start, but the first point brings hope
Ceuta have endured a difficult start to the 2026/27 campaign. José Juan Romero's side lost their opening five league matches, scoring just twice and conceding 15 goals. Their defensive struggles have been particularly concerning, with heavy defeats against Andorra (1-5), Mallorca (0-3), and Burgos (1-3).
However, the previous round finally brought some encouragement. Ceuta rescued a dramatic 1-1 draw against Real Valladolid, with captain Carlos Hernández scoring the equalizer in the 101st minute. The result earned the hosts their first point of the season and demonstrated their ability to fight until the final whistle.
Nevertheless, the defensive problems remain. After six matches, Ceuta have conceded 16 goals and scored only three, leaving them at the bottom of the standings. Their attacking output has also been disappointing at home, where they have managed just one goal in three league fixtures.
Romero has additional personnel concerns. Ceuta were missing several players against Valladolid, including Lapeña, Anuar, Marino, and Koné. Furthermore, Omar Sadik received two yellow cards and was sent off during that encounter, leaving him suspended for the upcoming clash.
The hosts desperately need a victory to start closing the gap on the teams above them. However, their lack of attacking efficiency and defensive vulnerability could once again prove costly against an opponent that has performed particularly well away from home.
Real Sociedad B: Unbeaten away from home
Real Sociedad B have made a much more encouraging start to the campaign. Jon Ansotegi's team have collected eight points from six matches, recording two victories, two draws, and two defeats.
The most impressive aspect of their performances has been their ability to produce results on the road. The Basque side defeated Albacete 2-1, drew 2-2 against Burgos, and secured an impressive 3-1 victory over Andorra.
As a result, Real Sociedad B have collected seven points from their three away fixtures, scoring seven goals in the process.
Their previous league encounter ended in a narrow 1-0 home defeat against Mallorca. Despite the result, Ansotegi's team created several opportunities and remained competitive throughout the match, eventually conceding the decisive goal in the 81st minute.
The visitors have shown that they can adapt their approach depending on the opposition. Against Andorra, they scored three times before the interval, demonstrating their ability to exploit defensive mistakes and punish opponents through quick attacking transitions.
Gorka Gorosabel has been an important attacking contributor, while Dani Díaz and Lander Astiazarán provide creativity and movement behind the central striker.
Against a Ceuta side that has struggled to defend throughout the opening rounds, Real Sociedad B should have opportunities to maintain their productive away form.
Probable lineups
- Ceuta (4-3-3): Guille Vallejo; Arick Betancourt, Carlos Hernández, Albert Caparrós, José Matos; Mawuli, Ale Meléndez, Chidiebere Okoro; Edgar Sevikyan, Kuki Zalazar, Álex Camacho.
- Real Sociedad B (4-2-3-1): Aitor Fraga; Iñaki Rupérez, Ibai Ropero, Kazunari Kita, Jon Balda; Tomy Carbonell, Ibai Aguirre; Dani Díaz, Gorka Gorosabel, Lander Astiazarán; Gorka Carrera.
Match facts and head-to-head record
- Ceuta have failed to win any of their first six league matches, recording one draw and five defeats.
- The hosts have conceded 16 goals in six matches, an average of 2.67 per game.
- Real Sociedad B are unbeaten in their first three away fixtures, with two victories and one draw.
- The visitors have scored seven goals in those three away matches.
- The previous meeting at the Alfonso Murube, in April 2026, ended in a goalless draw.
- Ceuta won the other league meeting between the teams last season, securing a 3-1 away victory in December 2025.
Can Real Sociedad B exploit Ceuta's defensive problems? Match prediction
Ceuta's dramatic draw against Valladolid should provide a psychological boost, but a single positive result is unlikely to erase the problems that have affected their performances throughout the opening six rounds.
The hosts have struggled both defensively and offensively, and their personnel problems could make the task even more difficult. Although playing at the Alfonso Murube provides an opportunity to build on their first point, Ceuta have yet to demonstrate that they can consistently control matches at this level.
Real Sociedad B, meanwhile, have looked much more comfortable away from home. Their seven points from three away fixtures highlight their ability to compete in unfamiliar surroundings, while their attacking movement and quick transitions could create serious problems for Ceuta's vulnerable defensive line.
The visitors have also shown that they can score multiple goals on the road, although Ceuta's home advantage and determination to secure their first victory should not be underestimated.
Given the contrasting form of the two teams, Real Sociedad B have a strong opportunity to extend their unbeaten away record. However, the draw remains a realistic possibility, making a selection with protection against a level score particularly attractive.
Prediction: Real Sociedad B draw no bet (Odds: 2.12)
