Bayern vs Leipzig prediction, H2H and probable line-ups — 11 February 2026

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig prediction Photo by Alex Grimm/Getty Images
Finished
2 : 0
Germany, Munich, Allianz Arena
Harry Kane
64' (P)
Luis Diaz
67'

On 11 February 2026, football fans across Germany will be holding their breath as Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig clash in the quarter-finals of the domestic cup.

Key facts and head-to-head history:

  • Bayern have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Leipzig have won 2 of their last 5 matches.
  • Head-to-head in the last 5 encounters: Bayern – 4 wins, draws – 1, Leipzig – 0.
  • Both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 meetings.
  • Each of the last 5 head-to-head games saw 3 or more total goals.

Match preview:

This is a fixture worthy of a final, but only a place in the semi-finals is at stake—there’s no margin for error here.
The Munich giants traditionally view the DFB-Pokal as a must-have addition to their trophy cabinet. Bayern almost always reach the business end of the tournament as favourites, but recent years have shown that the one-game format leaves no room for overconfidence. The pressure from the stands, the high tempo, and the need to decide everything on the night—it's a perfect setting for upsets.
Leipzig, meanwhile, are no longer the upstarts. They play with confidence against the biggest clubs and know how to punish even the slightest mistake. For the Red Bulls, these matches are not just a shot at silverware—they’re a chance to reinforce their status as Bayern’s main domestic rivals.
Expect a high-intensity battle, aggressive pressing, and plenty of duels. Bayern will likely focus on controlling possession and building positional attacks, while Leipzig will try to exploit pace and launch rapid counters into open spaces.
The cup night in Munich promises fireworks: there will be no cautious feeling-out or playing for a draw. The loser goes home, the winner moves one step closer to glory. These are the nights that make the German Cup so beloved by fans.

Probable line-ups:

  • Bayern: Neuer, Upamecano, Tah, Davies, Kimmich, Pavlovic, Olise, Gnabry, Diaz, Kane.
  • Leipzig: Gulacsi, Raum, Seiwald, Orban, Henrichs, Baumgartner, Schlager, Gruda, Nusa, Romulo, Diomande.

Match prediction:

Both teams play attacking football and rarely leave the pitch without scoring, especially in head-to-head and cup encounters where the stakes are sky-high.
With the backing of their home crowd, Bayern almost always create chances in front of goal, but their attacking bravado also leaves room for opponents to counter—Leipzig thrive on quick transitions and know how to capitalise on even the smallest opportunities.
The single-elimination format of the German Cup quarter-finals also encourages attacking football: if a team concedes, they can't sit back—they have to push forward. A scenario with goals at both ends looks the most logical.
Conclusion: high intensity, attacking strength on both sides, and the lack of a draw option make "both teams to score – yes" a justified and appealing pick.

My prediction: Both teams to score – Yes.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.47
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