Sweden vs Slovenia prediction, H2H and probable lineups - November 18, 2025
One of the matches of the 10th round of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers will take place on Tuesday, November 18, at the Strawberry Arena in Solna, where Sweden will host Slovenia. Here’s our prediction for this encounter, featuring high-value odds.
Match preview
The Swedish national team is enduring one of its worst qualifying campaigns in recent years, as confirmed by their latest 1-4 defeat to Switzerland. Despite a change in head coach, the Scandinavians have not improved: that was their fourth consecutive loss, and their defense has conceded in every qualifier so far.
However, Sweden has still secured a playoff spot via the Nations League and will likely aim to end qualifying on a positive note. Their home record inspires more confidence — they are unbeaten in 11 of their last 13 World Cup qualifying home games. The team is especially solid defensively at home, rarely allowing opponents to score more than once.
Slovenia, meanwhile, lost any remaining hope of traveling to the USA after falling 0-2 at home to Kosovo. The team hasn’t won a single match in this qualifying campaign, collecting all three of their points through draws. Their attacking struggles have been particularly evident in recent games — three consecutive matches without scoring, just two goals in the tournament, and the weakest attacking record in the group.
Slovenia has looked even weaker away from home — losing 7 of their last 10 away qualifiers says it all. The team rarely scores on the road, and in nine out of eleven away matches, they failed to net more than once. With possible squad rotation following the loss of tournament motivation, another lackluster performance from the visitors seems likely.
Probable lineups
- Sweden: Johansson, Svensson, Hien, Lindelöf, Gudmundsson, Bergvall, Karlström, Forsberg, Svanberg, Nygren, Isak
- Slovenia: Oblak, Karnicnik, Bijol, Brekalo, Janza, Gorenc-Stankovic, Elsnik, Gnezda-Cerin, Lovric, Sporar, Vipotnik
Match facts and head-to-head
- In eight of Sweden’s last ten qualifiers, there have been no more than two goals scored.
- Slovenia has failed to win nine of their last ten World Cup qualifying away matches.
- The only previous head-to-head in this qualifying group ended in a 1-1 draw.
Prediction
Sweden will be eager to close out the qualifying campaign with a home win to relieve the pressure after a string of setbacks. Slovenia has shown no signs of progress, especially away from home, and will likely struggle to put up serious resistance once again. The optimal bet is a Sweden win at 1.65 odds.
