Shakhtar vs Polissya: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 20.04.2026

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya Zhytomyr prediction Photo: upl.ua / Author unknown
Finished
1 : 0
Ukraine, Lviv, Arena Lviv, Lviv
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr
Valeriy Bondar
56'

One of the key fixtures of the Ukrainian Premier League round is set for Monday in Lviv, where Shakhtar Donetsk will clash with Polissya Zhytomyr at Arena Lviv. This matchup is especially intriguing not only due to its significance in the standings, but also because Polissya has become a notoriously tricky opponent for the Miners in recent seasons.

Match preview

Shakhtar come into this game after a grueling and emotionally charged stretch. Under Arda Turan, the team first confidently dispatched AZ Alkmaar in the Conference League with a 3-0 win, but then slipped in the league, drawing 2-2 with main rivals LNZ Cherkasy. That draw marked their first dropped points in a long and successful run, but in terms of performance, the Donetsk club still look like a side ready to apply pressure over the long haul. In midweek, the Miners drew away to AZ and secured a place in the Conference League semi-finals.

In the Ukrainian Premier League table, Arda Turan’s team sits second, trailing the leaders only on tiebreakers, so there’s no room for complacency. But it’s precisely the matches against Polissya that regularly knock Shakhtar out of their comfort zone: the favorites dominate possession and territory, but run into a sticky, hard-fought scenario where every inch of space is fiercely contested. For Shakhtar, this is a test of maturity. They need not just to take the initiative, but to strike the right balance between pressure and patience, avoiding leaving themselves exposed to their opponent’s quick counters.

Polissya approach this game not as a convenient underdog, but as a team that has already developed a clear and effective model for playing Shakhtar. The Zhytomyr side are third in the table, five points behind their opponents, and are in good form: 4-0 against SC Poltava, 1-1 with Veres, 2-0 over Kudrivka, and 2-0 over Kryvbas. This isn’t just a run of points - it’s a series of confident, structured performances.

Crucially, Polissya have been excellent on the road. The team has notched up four consecutive away wins, making them one of the league’s best travelers. That kind of record is rarely accidental: it speaks to discipline, the ability to play without the ball, and a clear understanding of how to approach matches against more high-profile opponents. In recent head-to-heads with Shakhtar, Zhytomyr’s players haven’t panicked or wilted under pressure. On the contrary, they seem to provoke the favorite into an uncomfortable tempo, break the game into episodes, and deny them space through the middle. The first meeting this season ended 0-0, and in terms of style, it fit perfectly into the pattern of this rivalry.

Probable lineups

  • Shakhtar Donetsk: Riznyk, Konoplia, Bondar, Marlon, Henrique, Nazaryna, Alisson, Bondarenko, Pedrinho, Eguinaldo,
  • Polissya: Volynets, Maisuradze, Chobotenko, Sarapiy, Mykhailychenko, Krasniqi, Hutsulyak, Andriyevskyi, Fedor, Bragaru, Haiduchyk

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Shakhtar have not beaten Polissya in any of their last six meetings: three draws and three defeats.
  • No more than two goals have been scored in each of the last six head-to-head games between these teams.
  • Polissya come into this match on a four-game unbeaten run in the UPL, with four consecutive away wins.

Prediction

Once again, this match looks extremely awkward for Shakhtar, despite their higher-quality squad and nominal home advantage. The Donetsk side can seize the initiative, but against Polissya, that initiative rarely translates into a comfortable lead, because the visitors are masters at slowing the tempo, defending patiently, and punishing rushed positional play. In terms of the likely match pattern, expect another tight, low-scoring affair. Polissya are simply too organized right now to crumble under pressure, and Shakhtar have repeatedly run into a structural wall in these encounters.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.75
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