Scotland need an almost impossible comeback: Hearts vs Benfica prediction

Heart of Midlothian vs Benfica prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
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International, Edinburgh, Tynecastle Park

The second leg of the Europa League third qualifying round between Hearts and Benfica will take place on August 13, 2026, at Tynecastle Park in Edinburgh. The first encounter in Lisbon ended in a resounding victory for the Portuguese side, 6-1, meaning the hosts now need an almost miraculous turnaround to keep their European dream alive.

Hearts: first win of the season came too late

The campaign has been tough for Hearts so far: the team lost four of their first five matches, crashed out of the Champions League qualifiers to Sturm, suffered defeat to Aberdeen in the league, and then were hit for six by Benfica. Under Wouter Vrancken, the defense has already conceded 14 goals - an ominous sign ahead of a clash with one of the most prolific attacking sides in the qualifiers.

Still, the Scots finally got some much-needed relief at the weekend, thrashing Dundee United 4-0. Given the almost hopeless situation in this European tie, the manager might opt for rotation and rest some key players, especially with Stephen Kingsley, Craig Halkett, Malachi Fagan-Walcott, and Ageu unavailable.

Benfica: five-goal cushion means no need to take risks

Marco Silva’s team practically booked their ticket to the next round in Lisbon, scoring six goals from six different players. In just three European matches this season, Benfica have already found the net 12 times, and after a surprising 2-1 loss to St. Gallen, they bounced back with emphatic wins - 5-0 and 6-1.

This advantage allows the visitors to rotate freely. Vangelis Pavlidis has already netted six goals this season and might be given a rest, with John Duran - who came off the bench and scored in the first leg—ready to step in.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • The first leg ended with a 6-1 win for Benfica.
  • The Portuguese club has scored 12 goals in three European matches this season.
  • Hearts thrashed Dundee United 4-0 before the return leg.

The visitors’ class should show again: Hearts vs Benfica prediction

Hearts have what it takes to be bolder at home and, buoyed by a convincing league win, will surely aim to bow out of Europe with their heads held high. But pushing forward against such a powerful attack is fraught with the risk of more defensive collapses.

Benfica can afford to play without urgency or unnecessary risk, and even with rotation, their squad quality is a cut above. The Portuguese side have already proven their superiority and should once again exploit any gaps left open.

Prediction on game W2(-1.0)
Odds: 1.68
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