Can Washington Continue Its Strong Home Form? Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Prediction | September 23, 2026
Washington Mystics
Connecticut Sun
Washington Mystics will host Connecticut Sun at CareFirst Arena with just two regular-season games remaining. The Mystics have already secured a playoff spot but are still fighting for a better position, while Connecticut enters the matchup near the bottom of the standings and has lost its last five games.
Match Preview
Washington comes into the game in excellent form, winning five of its last six games. The Mystics most recently defeated Indiana Fever 93-77, with Kiki Iriafen leading the way with 21 points and 14 rebounds. Shakira Austin added 20 points and 10 rebounds for a double-double. Before that, Washington beat Chicago Sky 110-80.
The Mystics are 4th in the Eastern Conference and 8th overall with two games remaining. Their home record has been another major strength: Washington has won 13 of 20 games at CareFirst Arena and eight of its last nine home games. The team also leads the WNBA in rebounds at 37.6 per game and ranks second in defensive rating at 103.4.
Connecticut is in a very different situation. The Sun have lost five straight, including a 101-89 defeat to Minnesota Lynx and a 103-59 loss to Atlanta Dream. Their overall record stands at 10-32, leaving them last in the Eastern Conference and second-last overall.
The Sun have struggled particularly badly on the road. Connecticut has won only three of 21 away games and enters this matchup on a 10-game road losing streak. Their offense is also the lowest-scoring in the league at 78.7 points per game, although their 78.5 points allowed per game is considerably better.
The recent head-to-head record gives Connecticut some encouragement, as the Sun have won three of the last five meetings. However, Washington won the most recent matchup 92-74 at home. The Mystics also have a clear statistical advantage in several areas: they average 37.6 rebounds per game and 43.0 points in the paint, both among the league leaders.
Washington's main concern is the status of Shakira Austin, whose participation remains uncertain. Connecticut will be without Olivia Nelson-Ododa and Brittney Griner.
Key Trends
- Washington have won 5 of their last 6 games.
- The Mystics have won 8 of their last 9 home games.
- Connecticut have lost 5 straight overall.
- The Sun have lost 10 consecutive road games.
- The Mystics rank second in the WNBA in defensive rating at 103.4.
- Washington lead the league in rebounds at 37.6 per game.
Prediction
The contrast in current form is significant. Washington have won five of their last six and eight of their last nine at home, while Connecticut have struggled throughout the season and are currently on a 10-game road losing streak. The Mystics also have more at stake in the final games of the regular season, as their playoff position can still change. Their rebounding strength and top-level defense provide a solid foundation, while Connecticut will have to cope with an offense that has produced the fewest points per game in the league. With the game taking place in Washington and the Mystics entering in much better recent form, the matchup sets up as another opportunity for Washington to strengthen its position before the playoffs. Recommended Bet: Washington Mystics -12.5 Asian Handicap
