Brighton vs Wolverhampton: prediction, head-to-head stats and probable lineups — 09.05.2026

Brighton vs Wolverhampton prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Finished
3 : 0
England, Brighton, The American Express Community Stadium
Jack Hinshelwood
1'
Lewis Dunk
5'
Yankuba Minteh
86'

One of the fixtures in the 36th round of the English Premier League will be played on Saturday at the Amex Stadium in Brighton, where the local side Brighton will host Wolverhampton. The hosts are still battling for European spots and, theoretically, could climb even higher, while the visitors have already lost hope of survival and are now playing more for pride than for any tangible tournament objective.

Match preview

Brighton stumbled last round in Newcastle, falling 1-3 to the Magpies and snapping a five-match unbeaten streak. But this setback shouldn't obscure the main point: Fabian Hürzeler's team have won six of their last nine Premier League games and look like one of the most energetic contenders for a European place as the season draws to a close.

The main issue for the hosts is the right flank, where Mats Wieffer’s injury has dealt a painful blow to the team’s structure - he recently netted a brace against Burnley. Diego Gomez is also a doubt, though his possible return alongside James Milner would offer Hürzeler more flexibility, especially against an opponent that often struggles to cope with high tempo and wing pressure.

Wolverhampton mathematically lost their chances of staying in the Premier League after a 0-3 defeat to Leeds and unfavorable results elsewhere. The winter-spring surge, featuring wins over Aston Villa and Liverpool, proved to be a brief flash, after which Rob Edwards’ side reverted to their old problems in attack, defense, and game management. Notably, Brighton have scored more than 2 goals in just one of their last 10 home league matches.

Last round, the Wolves drew 1-1 with Sunderland, but even that result was unconvincing: their opponents played most of the match a man down. There’s additional concern in goal, where injuries to José Sá and Sam Johnstone mean Dan Bentley is expected to start again, and Wolves’ away record is almost hopeless: not a single win on the road and just seven goals scored all season.

Probable lineups

  • Brighton: Verbruggen, Kadioglu, Boscagli, Jan Paul van Hecke, De Keyper, Groß, Baleba, Hinshelwood, Mitoma, Minteh, Welbeck.
  • Wolverhampton: Bentley, Mosquera, Gomes, Bueno, Andre, Gomes, Lima, Bueno, Mane, Armstrong, Arokodare.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Brighton are unbeaten against Wolverhampton in Premier League and League Cup games since 2022, winning six and drawing three of those matches.
  • The last two times Wolverhampton visited Brighton, the games were high-scoring: 3-2 in the League Cup and 2-2 in the league.
  • Wolverhampton remain the only Premier League team without an away win this season, collecting just five points on the road.
  • Wolverhampton have won the corner kick handicap (+3.5) in six of their last seven away league meetings with Brighton.
  • Brighton have received at least as many yellow cards as their opponents in six of their last seven home league head-to-heads (four wins, two draws).

Prediction

Brighton suffered a setback in Newcastle, but in terms of quality, motivation, and overall season dynamics, the hosts look far more convincing. Hürzeler’s side are adept at quickly regaining momentum after a setback, and against this current Wolverhampton outfit, controlling the tempo and exploiting the flanks will be crucial. The visitors have almost no resources left for a late surge: relegation is already a fact, their attack rarely functions away from home, and personnel issues at the back only widen the gulf in class. Wolves may try to keep things tight and stay in the game as long as possible, but if Brighton break through early, this could turn into yet another punishing away trip for the visitors.

Prediction on game W1(-1.5)
Odds: 1.8
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